CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4915e746393657cedc60e7bf07cf39f345b4921f5db55fa377900f26dffd397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof SPARTA, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb31b…d703backed SPARTA | 74c | 1,293$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.02 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TDK | 60c | 809.59$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.51 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 40c | 565.45$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.89 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 73c | 501.79$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…3cd7backed TDK | 61c | 483.45$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.78 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 38c | 304.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked TDK | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 34c | 172.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TDK | 56c | 157.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed SPARTA | 39c | 140.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed TDK | 67c | 138.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TDK | 52c | 137.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 57c | 119.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TDK | 33c | 110.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…ba4ebacked SPARTA | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 43c | 92.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…73e9backed TDK | 19c | 72.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +438.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked TDK | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…92babacked TDK | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed SPARTA | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked TDK | 31c | 52.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 65c | 50.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked SPARTA | 67c | 48.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TDK | 40c | 39.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed SPARTA | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked TDK | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked SPARTA | 72c | 30.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TDK | 47c | 30.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked TDK | 47c | 29.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c92…3e42backed SPARTA | 53c | 24.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked TDK | 63c | 24.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed SPARTA | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…37a2backed TDK | 62c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1704…2e46backed SPARTA | 73c | 14.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.