CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc23db1ec6958ac3df32ca2dc78849c9461e34f117412599d602b0685f6571aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SPARTA | 64c | 2,191$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.44 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked TDK | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked TDK | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed TDK | 39c | 1,424$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.14 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 62c | 1,376$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 66c | 1,238$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.77 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TDK | 56c | 579.5$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.19 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed TDK | 7c | 570$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed TDK | 21c | 561.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked TDK | 38c | 510$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked TDK | 8c | 468$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 45c | 460.24$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 69c | 409.29$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed TDK | 33c | 394.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TDK | 20c | 380.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA | 48c | 372.54$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed TDK | 15c | 350$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed TDK | 59c | 272.27$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed SPARTA | 61c | 220.19$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed TDK | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked TDK | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed SPARTA | 61c | 198.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 55c | 196.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked SPARTA | 34c | 187.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked TDK | 40c | 169.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed TDK | 12c | 161.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed TDK | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked TDK | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed TDK | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed TDK | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 62c | 127.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked SPARTA | 45c | 107.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7cefbacked SPARTA | 47c | 104.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked TDK | 11c | 102.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed TDK | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked TDK | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…ba4ebacked TDK | 48c | 90.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TDK | 32c | 78.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TDK | 27c | 74.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed SPARTA | 50c | 71.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed TDK | 44c | 69.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…29e1backed SPARTA | 26c | 56.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +279.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked TDK | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed TDK | 43c | 49.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 59c | 48.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked TDK | 30c | 45.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked TDK | 40c | 42.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 39c | 38.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed SPARTA | 63c | 38.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed TDK | 74c | 33.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked TDK | 56c | 33.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed SPARTA | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked TDK | 41c | 28.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked SPARTA | 65c | 26.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed SPARTA | 69c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed TDK | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked SPARTA | 59c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6f…5cdebacked SPARTA | 68c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked SPARTA | 74c | 13.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.