Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6b315e2dd05b752ab5e9170dd685f1f3116e8fc9c2e382d4628f338851e2d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 4c | 26,296$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.12 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 3c | 24,216$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 6,828$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.14 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 30c | 4,776$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.85 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 4,621$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.11 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 4,136$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.8 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 66c | 4,107$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 32c | 4,040$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.03 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 2,964$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.95 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 12c | 1,883$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 3c | 1,370$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 1,153$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 799.68$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 9c | 757.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 11c | 678.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 653.97$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 5c | 650.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 609.96$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 19c | 448$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 432.51$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 68c | 400$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 34c | 371$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 9c | 341.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 28c | 303$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 299.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 72c | 285.54$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 279.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 18c | 271.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 250.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 16c | 240.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 70c | 203.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 70c | 203.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 68c | 199.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 10c | 181.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 157$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 142$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 27c | 139.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 76c | 131.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Yes | 28c | 120.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 70c | 116.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 95.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 11c | 94.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 72c | 89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 78c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 71c | 75.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 28c | 70.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…deb0backed No | 70c | 70.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…af88backed Yes | 29c | 66.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 55.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…f004backed Yes | 22c | 53.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61eb…6a61backed Yes | 34c | 44.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d9…e6c2backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 36.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked No | 76c | 32.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 35c | 32.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 72c | 30.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…92babacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 72c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed No | 67c | 19.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.