MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3c1cc62e19af9b6492d0290880bab1e0a02c971e233fb890af7cce7a17a2e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 22,763$13,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,202.43 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 18,896$7,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,959.47 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 17,563$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 16,807$9,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 13,474$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.99 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 9,093$4,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670.75 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 9,047$5,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 7,965$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.14 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 7,428$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.34 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 6,552$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.21 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,730$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.35 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 5,322$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.78 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.97 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,459$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.13 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 4,330$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.18 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,549$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.2 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,305$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.97 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 3,136$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.17 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,973$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.66 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 2,748$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.33 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,557$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,437$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.46 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,336$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.97 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,315$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 2,193$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,125$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.88 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 2,069$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.3 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,938$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.03 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 1,876$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.29 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,593$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.41 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 1,516$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,468$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.57 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,333$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,324$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,307$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 1,245$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,237$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 1,140$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.45 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,102$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.85 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,093$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.71 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,064$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.46 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,053$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.9 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,040$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 994.12$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 989.6$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.61 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 966.02$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.79 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 959.65$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.47 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 817.67$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.92 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 758.13$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 745.37$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.51 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 721.35$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 703.04$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.56 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 668$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.63 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 659.25$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 604.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.45 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 599.67$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.81 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 584.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…6258backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 564.91$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…1f48backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 560.51$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 533.88$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.89 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 533.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 530.3$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 515.13$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 513.75$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.01 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 469.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.04 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 460$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 425.87$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.04 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…2b63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 405.96$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 405.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 403.21$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 380.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 359.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 356.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…f8b9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 348.87$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9546…615dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 346.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 345.03$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 343.2$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…ca0bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…df5dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 341.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 322.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 321.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 317.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.17 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 299.95$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 294.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 294.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 292.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 291.76$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 287.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.