TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c8,298$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.7465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c8,063$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.391,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c6,568$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.441,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over60c6,116$3,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,657.346,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under41c3,622$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.091,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under51c2,448$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.561,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over51c2,329$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.012,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under54c2,097$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.1210246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,992$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.715,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Under51c1,913$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.3526245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c1,846$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.021,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c1,743$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.61,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under57c1,527$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.622948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,311$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6667849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c1,242$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.092,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c1,228$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.939,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.965350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c1,167$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.761,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c1,155$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.461,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4907852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104434.1%15 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under49c746.05$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4847350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c595.48$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.716,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c583.42$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.371,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c580.86$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.239351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c580.86$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.234452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c417.96$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.81,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c335.43$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6641847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c290.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8732348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…b1a2backed Under77c256.31$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Under49c248.56$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.774742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under54c247.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.081,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under54c247.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0812656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over47c208.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8411450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over57c194$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5813256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c192.54$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.931,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over47c185.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.744864.6%31 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8318345.4%83 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over53c173.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.726,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under50c171.69$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8524350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.526845.9%123 W · 145 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over51c144.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7733547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under57c138.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.081,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under54c132.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.465,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.554146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over36c93.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.581,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.428752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Under54c89.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.381060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over54c84.77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.155464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under52c79.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0140341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Over50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Under52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.865050%25 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over37c73.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.071,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.762,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under30c65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.351,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over43c61.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0325452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under54c52.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2112750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7528352.3%148 W · 135 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x959b…64edbacked Under52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over51c46.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.813152.7%69 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7137747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over48c43.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6530750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under54c40.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6731046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Over49c39.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.393342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.419248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4122450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over49c36.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0718553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Over47c30.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.139642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5511250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c24.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.342,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under50c24.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2213353.4%71 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under54c23.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7565359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under52c23.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.198351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under52c22.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9111854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x823b…3655backed Over69c19.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.