TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,197 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c19,134$9,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,191.3865050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c10,860$5,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,165.71,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Over49c9,892$4,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8472657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c9,700$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,85027254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over50c6,600$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3008247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c6,284$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.781,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c6,218$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.871,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Under53c5,831$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.4851756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under51c4,287$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.6117248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c4,277$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.51,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under52c3,274$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.543246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over48c1,558$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.033847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over50c1,519$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.812,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Under51c1,332$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over48c1,316$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.2318553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over48c1,226$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,176$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.476,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808360.2%50 W · 33 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.995,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.994146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c999.42$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7244451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c998.26$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.631,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Under53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c971.2$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1821748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0222849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Over50c943.19$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9611451.8%59 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c850.11$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.561,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Under53c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.715945.8%27 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Over48c726.6$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.776653%35 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over48c697.54$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.8212049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under52c430$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.470744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c413.11$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.291,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c411.33$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over50c404.26$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1342550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19685952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8894034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under52c370.85$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.561,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Under49c354.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1748850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Under52c348.66$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.362240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over49c337.69$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.31,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over64c305.82$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6819842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Over49c293.73$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.934060%24 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Over33c291.87$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9736440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under51c264.34$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4322849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c264.22$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.451,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under51c264.04$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3865549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c244.6$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1130750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over49c239.3$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2641847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c239.3$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.261,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under52c208.61$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.134346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc68…46cbbacked Over48c204.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1620…4fa2backed Over48c204.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042f…54abbacked Under49c199.36$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01f…9b3fbacked Under52c199.02$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under51c194.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.485250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over49c186.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.211,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over61c168.93$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.714,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c148.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2267849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over48c146.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3936649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under49c145.27$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.091855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c141.62$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.811,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Under42c133.73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5621948.4%106 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x435a…21a5backed Over49c110.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.22540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under25c109.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.44,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under51c109.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7830048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Over52c106.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5533228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over49c106.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6315858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under67c102.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.986,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4422450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c99.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.931,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.554146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d7…3ed2backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over49c94.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.128850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b8…8924backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.827251.4%37 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under52c93.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7838352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c93.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.772,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over48c91.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6978146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under51c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b5…5b6abacked Over49c88.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over49c86.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1527345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over37c79.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.99,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under52c75.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.459948.5%48 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under48c69.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.197055.7%39 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over47c64.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5523248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…36c6backed Over51c62.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.354257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f4…69f1backed Over49c60.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0480…92babacked Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-61.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under20c58.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.821,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under52c58.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9711250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aec…b968backed Over48c58.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under52c55.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7679543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under50c54.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5425249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over50c52.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.199448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.