MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0a7230c2162d1ca971b8d8b3324e5be1df1645aecf35bd55f4b010f0e4d1874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 10,917$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.69 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,947$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.24 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 4,158$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 2,753$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.71 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 2,195$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.83 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,172$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.53 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,978$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.02 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,736$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.37 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,141$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.58 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 816.12$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.83 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 659.39$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.45 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 439.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.11 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 438$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.42 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 393.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 372.08$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 329.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 235.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 168.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 121.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 115.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 72.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 70.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 69.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Atlanta Braves | 71c | 67.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…4ecdbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 59.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 57.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 54.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 54.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 50.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 43.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 43.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 38.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 34.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 29.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…61d6backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 27.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 20.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-7.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.