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MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, St. Louis Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Boston Red Sox52c113,794$59,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,620.9141149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked St. Louis Cardinals48c90,822$43,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,613.61,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed St. Louis Cardinals48c24,220$11,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,625.67048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals48c10,895$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.581,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Boston Red Sox52c9,760$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.6465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe48…8c4bbacked Boston Red Sox53c5,302$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals48c4,037$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.637953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Boston Red Sox52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed St. Louis Cardinals47c3,693$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.9828944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox52c3,050$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.025,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.991,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked St. Louis Cardinals47c2,768$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.7417248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox52c2,700$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3066,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20075049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals4c2,409$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.231,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Boston Red Sox63c2,170$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.051,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Boston Red Sox53c2,129$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.8516547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed St. Louis Cardinals47c2,093$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.834252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals24c2,013$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.881,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Boston Red Sox52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9933852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals47c1,870$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.892,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox78c1,861$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.718,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked St. Louis Cardinals48c1,817$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.9214156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals22c1,655$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.976,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox53c1,378$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.841,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed St. Louis Cardinals6c1,315$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.846513.8%9 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Boston Red Sox52c1,278$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals21c1,171$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.342,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Boston Red Sox52c1,018$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.871,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed St. Louis Cardinals49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.72339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox51c959.42$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Boston Red Sox76c957.75$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3410338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked St. Louis Cardinals37c620.34$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1521656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox58c563.2$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.81,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed St. Louis Cardinals47c491.9$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.416844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals47c484.1$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5385952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals47c480$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.61,41843.4%616 W · 802 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals24c477.2$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.531,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed St. Louis Cardinals48c464.75$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0827345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Boston Red Sox71c450.77$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.181,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals28c444.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.461,13942.7%486 W · 653 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals10c436$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.996,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox52c420$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.61,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7648354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b89…0d9cbacked St. Louis Cardinals48c397.21$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.665226.9%14 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Boston Red Sox74c371.51$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6360941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Boston Red Sox51c349$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.013158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked St. Louis Cardinals35c342.33$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.994047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Boston Red Sox71c321.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0534452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed St. Louis Cardinals32c303.14$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1512846.1%59 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Boston Red Sox76c295.68$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9665651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed St. Louis Cardinals6c294.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked St. Louis Cardinals48c292.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.473246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals48c275.32$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.161,24058.1%721 W · 519 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.21,29343.5%562 W · 731 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked St. Louis Cardinals47c245.53$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2140449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals28c235.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.99,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed St. Louis Cardinals47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.463644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals47c219.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.391,32644%583 W · 743 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Boston Red Sox52c217.86$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3467849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed St. Louis Cardinals47c215.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6767449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0a…75acbacked St. Louis Cardinals47c209.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7746546%214 W · 251 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked St. Louis Cardinals36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7234145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked St. Louis Cardinals47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9441549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed St. Louis Cardinals47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9969351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb3…4091backed St. Louis Cardinals49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.946731.3%21 W · 46 L-10.9wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc510…629abacked Boston Red Sox62c197.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.165754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…6a1bbacked St. Louis Cardinals47c193.64$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0136345.7%166 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Boston Red Sox53c187.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.971546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed St. Louis Cardinals47c184.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1552947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Boston Red Sox53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1812337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed St. Louis Cardinals48c176.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9592050%460 W · 460 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Boston Red Sox54c174.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1945253.8%243 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Boston Red Sox78c168.35$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0555464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Boston Red Sox72c166.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3711751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed St. Louis Cardinals47c164.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4666551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals47c163.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.693,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d62…eaf3backed St. Louis Cardinals47c162.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4919642.9%84 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Boston Red Sox51c157.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3877052.1%401 W · 369 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked St. Louis Cardinals22c157.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3151555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed St. Louis Cardinals48c154.04$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9436650.8%186 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Boston Red Sox53c152.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.317045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Boston Red Sox72c151.9$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.156152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Boston Red Sox51c148.42$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5172247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Boston Red Sox53c145.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.518953.9%48 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed St. Louis Cardinals47c144.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7756946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked St. Louis Cardinals48c141.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8266748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked St. Louis Cardinals47c140.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9828350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed St. Louis Cardinals49c133.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.381060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Boston Red Sox52c132$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3628049.6%139 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Boston Red Sox53c128.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2931949.5%158 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed St. Louis Cardinals47c125.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.166851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed St. Louis Cardinals47c125.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1647848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed St. Louis Cardinals48c125.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.294346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2201…b675backed St. Louis Cardinals47c123.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.124544.1%108 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Boston Red Sox79c119.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.299058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Boston Red Sox53c114.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7236649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed St. Louis Cardinals21c113.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9479049.2%389 W · 401 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked St. Louis Cardinals46c108.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3337348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.