TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$447,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$629,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes30c160,077$47,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,179.5611445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No70c35,986$25,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,073.1813748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c28,108$18,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,709.222,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c23,510$16,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,535.392,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No70c20,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0003971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No4c14,660$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.7141344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed No70c11,273$7,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,891.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c9,916$6,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,941.281,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No70c8,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No66c4,261$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.294261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c4,190$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.0374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No70c3,500$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes29c3,430$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.954637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No3c2,259$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes29c2,117$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.0727752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4007061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No70c1,983$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.6414459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No71c1,938$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.7621056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes77c1,934$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.813154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No3c1,327$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No15c1,300$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9915735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes30c1,277$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.133548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No47c1,239$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0713948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No70c1,149$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.171,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes34c1,132$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.0169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes26c1,103$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.943138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes78c1,083$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c1,044$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.442,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…09c7backed Yes61c1,029$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7408343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c999.99$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No70c990.75$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.5213847.1%65 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes36c988.31$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.521963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No71c982.6$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.658065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No70c957.85$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.59753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c900$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No70c900$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63014355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No57c838.56$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.255759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56014354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes26c735.08$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.9611234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c680$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.9480953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Yes61c663.72$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes30c638.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.074734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No44c608.9$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7114658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42012757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42013855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No71c589.56$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.5910558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No4c562.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7643241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes29c466.48$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.26344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c458.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No70c420$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29417959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No70c420$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29418156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes28c409.91$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.092128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes29c406.66$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.737750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No5c388.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.543537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No70c370$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25916858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+52.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6818123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c328.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.338233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c319.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5312233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c318.5$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.076,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes28c318.42$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2620040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes30c303.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.362740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c299.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3355751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No71c294.78$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2923258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes29c293.92$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.682352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No55c288.15$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.541,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes38c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.091338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No23c236.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5145142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No57c212.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes79c203.64$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No43c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7315249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes28c199.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes30c191.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.128736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No71c188.84$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.081,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c185.65$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2657150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c180$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c176.87$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.586966.7%46 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes30c159.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.771520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No72c136.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.323522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes30c124.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1815037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No23c124.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6113746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Yes38c123.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.53757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c120.68$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.531,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes66c107.92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5727552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes74c103.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.982070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes23c101.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.384864.6%31 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7122658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.