MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44dd8b372f771020fb278ee82e1bc55f82e03eb418816b7d90df912e8ecf3721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $947,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,040,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $947,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 135,579$61,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,436.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 99,169$54,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,873.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 80,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,999.9 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 56,608$33,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,244.55 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 53,369$27,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,363.18 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 41,944$24,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,318.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 39,564$21,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,699.74 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 37,875$17,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,831.21 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 36,661$18,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,936.23 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 32,834$16,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,319.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 25,570$14,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,063.43 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 24,442$9,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,743.12 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 22,274$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,273.61 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 22,038$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,038.03 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 17,973$7,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,084.92 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 17,781$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,650.11 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 16,265$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.48 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 14,949$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 14,757$8,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,103.91 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 14,345$6,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,428.27 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 13,636$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 13,480$7,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,413.73 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,449$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.32 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 9,997$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.32 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 8,000$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.71 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 7,762$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 7,200$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 7,051$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.3 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 6,956$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 5,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…563cbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 4,449$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 4,340$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 4,104$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 4,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,970$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.58 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 3,288$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.45 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 3,220$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.97 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 3,198$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.13 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,176$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.47 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,898$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.17 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 2,729$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 2,681$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.75 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,514$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.02 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,257$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.39 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,237$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,220$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.8 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,220$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,175$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.89 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,153$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.83 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 2,026$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.81 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,017$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.65 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,893$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.63 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,755$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.75 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,749$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.48 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,723$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.12 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,710$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,628$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.4 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,530$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.67 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,517$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,490$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,462$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,451$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.79 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,435$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.83 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,399$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.4 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 1,382$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.97 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,363$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Seattle Mariners | 33c | 1,325$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.56 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 1,227$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.59 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…4a75backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,194$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.03 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,137$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 1,116$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.78 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,022$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.22 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 990.51$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 976.47$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 970$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 954.55$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 950.88$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.92 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 946.39$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.34 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 908.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 861.96$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.08 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 799.98$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 784.13$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.27 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 771.43$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.23 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.