Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a736701110c5e8d400356b8a960da1107c14e4673189851259b7d944522543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ignacio Buseof Ignacio Buse, Adrian Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 144,331$27,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,570.45 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 12,942$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.4 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Adrian Mannarino | 0c | 9,222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ed18backed Adrian Mannarino | 0c | 8,704$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 7,835$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Ignacio Buse | 80c | 5,937$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.4 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ignacio Buse | 80c | 2,251$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.29 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Ignacio Buse | 80c | 1,843$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.52 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ignacio Buse | 80c | 1,810$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Ignacio Buse | 80c | 1,778$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 1,604$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Adrian Mannarino | 3c | 1,570$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 1,419$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 610 | 62.8%383 W · 227 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Adrian Mannarino | 4c | 1,399$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 1,352$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.17 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 1,069$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Ignacio Buse | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Ignacio Buse | 80c | 889.2$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Ignacio Buse | 80c | 889.2$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 880.73$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…507bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 834.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 778.32$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 1,030 | 50%515 W · 515 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…7d86backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 749.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 748.15$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 645.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Adrian Mannarino | 2c | 617$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 582.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Ignacio Buse | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 476.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 474.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 454.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Ignacio Buse | 80c | 405.4$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Ignacio Buse | 78c | 401.28$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 377.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ignacio Buse | 79c | 374.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 356.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 317.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 288$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…4965backed Ignacio Buse | 79c | 281.22$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 274.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 255.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 189 | 29.6%56 W · 133 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 255.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 249.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Ignacio Buse | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Ignacio Buse | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 219.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 200.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 198.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 194.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ignacio Buse | 80c | 190.66$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 188.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 188.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…99f6backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 181.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 175.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 175.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 167.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c3…8062backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 157.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…3913backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 153.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 151.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 149.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Ignacio Buse | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 329 | 35.6%117 W · 212 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…321cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 122.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 119.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 109.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…e299backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 102.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…9d9bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 94.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 93.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…93abbacked Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…9112backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 84.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 83.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…67cdbacked Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 76.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Ignacio Buse | 75c | 72.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 819 | 56.9%466 W · 353 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…92babacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 69.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 68.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 64.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 62.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Ignacio Buse | 80c | 53.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a7c6backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 51.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Ignacio Buse | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Ignacio Buse | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Ignacio Buse | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Ignacio Buse | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 437 | 52.2%228 W · 209 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Ignacio Buse | 77c | 29.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…db6fbacked Ignacio Buse | 78c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…f6b9backed Ignacio Buse | 80c | 13.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Buse vs MannarinoBuse won
- Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)Buse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.