TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x18c6…a7c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Asian League, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Asian League at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Paris: Diane Parry vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Belluccibacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Jesper de Jongbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federica Urgesi vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Federica Urgesi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Istanbul: Katherine Sebov vs Berfu Cengizbacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$12.3
Abidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Hamish Stewartbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.28
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+913.3%+$105.12
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$43.17
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Wushuang Zhengbacked Wushuang Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaevabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Aix en Provence: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yibing Wubacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cagliari: Jesper de Jong vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.