Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Federico Bondioli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38df00c189b55c95c437920e59921f2315166dcada58934b2c025036d60a2e7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dino Prizmicof Dino Prizmic, Federico Bondioli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Federico Bondioli | 7c | 6,373$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.9 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federico Bondioli | 5c | 4,801$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Federico Bondioli | 5c | 3,912$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Federico Bondioli | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Federico Bondioli | 10c | 2,685$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.49 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Federico Bondioli | 6c | 1,960$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Federico Bondioli | 9c | 1,500$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c494backed Federico Bondioli | 15c | 970.4$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Federico Bondioli | 9c | 918.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Federico Bondioli | 8c | 510.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Federico Bondioli | 12c | 448.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Federico Bondioli | 11c | 440.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Federico Bondioli | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Federico Bondioli | 10c | 390.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Federico Bondioli | 13c | 380.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Federico Bondioli | 5c | 379.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Federico Bondioli | 13c | 378.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Federico Bondioli | 5c | 366.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Federico Bondioli | 5c | 230.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Federico Bondioli | 11c | 224.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a7c6backed Federico Bondioli | 6c | 205.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Federico Bondioli | 6c | 205.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Federico Bondioli | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Federico Bondioli | 10c | 197.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Federico Bondioli | 16c | 153.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 904 | 35.7%323 W · 581 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Federico Bondioli | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Federico Bondioli | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Federico Bondioli | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Federico Bondiolithis page
- Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Bondioli (+1.5)Prizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.