Tennis · resolved market
Cagliari: Jesper de Jong vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7450cc1bfc982d0d3380c019dd92261d730b0af8508b86fa843daa1f1bfc6223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jesper de Jongof Jesper de Jong, Adrian Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 10,329$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 7,438$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.68 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 3,114$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.61 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 2,658$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Jesper de Jong | 76c | 2,532$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.74 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Jesper de Jong | 79c | 2,282$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Jesper de Jong | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 999.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 980.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 963.53$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 903.32$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 660.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 640.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 599.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 583.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 580.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 531.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 525.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Jesper de Jong | 76c | 506.45$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Jesper de Jong | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Adrian Mannarino | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Jesper de Jong | 76c | 493.86$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…368abacked Jesper de Jong | 70c | 491.72$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 458$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 394.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 352.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 345.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 343.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a7c6backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 341.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 274.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…6b8cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 271.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…f3c6backed Jesper de Jong | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 231.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 217.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 196.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…f7ddbacked Jesper de Jong | 77c | 194.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 184.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 183.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Jesper de Jong | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…6d47backed Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Jesper de Jong | 76c | 132.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Jesper de Jong | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 124.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Jesper de Jong | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jesper de Jong | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 87.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Jesper de Jong | 76c | 84.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 81.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 80.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…4375backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 79.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Jesper de Jong | 80c | 68.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 64.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…f413backed Jesper de Jong | 73c | 57.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Jesper de Jong | 77c | 56.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 55.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 54.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 53.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Jesper de Jong | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jesper de Jong | 76c | 40.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Jesper de Jong | 78c | 38.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Jesper de Jong | 77c | 31.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…d28ebacked Jesper de Jong | 77c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…dfd3backed Jesper de Jong | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…47abbacked Jesper de Jong | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Jesper de Jong | 78c | 24.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Jesper de Jong | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Jesper de Jong | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Jesper de Jong | 77c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari: Jesper de Jong vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Jong vs MannarinoJong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.