Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Katherine Sebov vs Berfu Cengiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc27ed241e77fabc9345fde4d43791064afb118d3d9a9ce0f72e7590023cbecad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berfu Cengizof Katherine Sebov, Berfu Cengiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Katherine Sebov | 32c | 8,389$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.24 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Berfu Cengiz | 68c | 4,601$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Berfu Cengiz | 58c | 3,327$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.76 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Katherine Sebov | 49c | 1,352$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.09 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Berfu Cengiz | 68c | 1,042$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.95 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Berfu Cengiz | 50c | 1,024$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.72 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Berfu Cengiz | 77c | 810.6$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Berfu Cengiz | 63c | 604.12$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Katherine Sebov | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Katherine Sebov | 32c | 466.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Katherine Sebov | 23c | 326.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katherine Sebov | 16c | 324.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Berfu Cengiz | 45c | 317.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.81 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Katherine Sebov | 55c | 302.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Katherine Sebov | 50c | 248.77$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Katherine Sebov | 22c | 224.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Katherine Sebov | 25c | 188.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Katherine Sebov | 22c | 173.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Katherine Sebov | 53c | 145.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Katherine Sebov | 38c | 138.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Katherine Sebov | 47c | 129.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Katherine Sebov | 35c | 127.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Berfu Cengiz | 76c | 118.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Berfu Cengiz | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Berfu Cengiz | 66c | 102.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Katherine Sebov | 26c | 97.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Berfu Cengiz | 70c | 95.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Berfu Cengiz | 48c | 93.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Katherine Sebov | 50c | 90.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Berfu Cengiz | 62c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Katherine Sebov | 57c | 69.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Katherine Sebov | 53c | 59.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Katherine Sebov | 50c | 59.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Katherine Sebov | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Berfu Cengiz | 64c | 57.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Katherine Sebov | 47c | 55.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a7c6backed Katherine Sebov | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Katherine Sebov | 48c | 45.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Katherine Sebov | 46c | 41.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Katherine Sebov | 58c | 41.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…ca76backed Berfu Cengiz | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Berfu Cengiz | 36c | 39.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Katherine Sebov | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Katherine Sebov | 49c | 29.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Katherine Sebov | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…fcf2backed Katherine Sebov | 38c | 26.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Berfu Cengiz | 77c | 23.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed Berfu Cengiz | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Katherine Sebov | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Berfu Cengiz | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Berfu Cengiz | 75c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…bd9bbacked Berfu Cengiz | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Berfu Cengiz | 76c | 16.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Istanbul: Katherine Sebov vs Berfu Cengizthis page
- Katherine Sebov vs. Berfu Cengiz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.