MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9589a2a703a96d5ea961ad1b195cf5421c57a63d944039e01d2194f08b4ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $601,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 49,569$24,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,784.29 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 37,879$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,879.03 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 35,089$19,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,860.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 31,834$16,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,139.44 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 27,456$18,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,869.14 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 24,038$11,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,259.61 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 22,895$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.77 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 22,833$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,832.73 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 20,845$10,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,162.33 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 19,054$9,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,923.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 17,736$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.42 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 17,449$10,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,987.68 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 16,275$7,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.35 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 14,445$7,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047.88 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 14,072$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,754.52 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 10,919$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,266.12 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 10,014$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 8,713$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.66 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 7,947$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 7,606$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 7,349$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.91 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 7,012$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.74 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 6,927$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.39 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 6,420$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.94 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 6,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 5,717$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.33 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 5,653$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.05 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 5,436$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.65 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 5,259$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.21 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 4,977$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.86 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants | 0c | 4,943$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 4,769$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 4,435$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 4,124$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.05 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 4,120$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.6 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…afe6backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,886$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,648$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.81 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 3,503$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.36 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,389$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.34 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 3,119$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Francisco Giants | 14c | 2,894$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.15 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,804$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.38 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 2,590$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.38 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 2,327$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.77 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,256$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.32 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd375…4096backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,126$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,085$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.54 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 2,059$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6d37backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,033$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.11 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,032$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 2,004$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.07 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,935$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.64 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,906$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.72 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 1,901$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.07 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 1,900$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,729$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.24 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked San Francisco Giants | 6c | 1,710$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 1,630$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,600$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,579$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.7 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,540$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,503$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,307$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.53 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,243$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,117$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 1,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 1,079$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.97 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,037$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.29 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,026$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.09 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.02 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 972.13$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 900$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 812.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 811$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 808.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 795$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 757.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 739.6$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.8 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 618$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.