TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$601,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$609,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants50c49,569$24,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,784.294,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres53c37,879$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,879.0324344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed San Francisco Giants57c35,089$19,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,860.62850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants51c31,834$16,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,139.4414248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,30077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres68c27,456$18,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,869.144,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres49c24,038$11,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,259.6198149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants20c22,895$4,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,655.7748850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres53c22,833$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,832.7337953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants49c20,845$10,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,162.332,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres48c19,054$9,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,923.8311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed San Francisco Giants2c17,736$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.424143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres60c17,449$10,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,987.681,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed San Francisco Giants47c16,275$7,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,649.357353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants49c14,445$7,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,047.881,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres52c14,072$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,754.521,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed San Francisco Giants52c11,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7209350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants48c10,919$5,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,266.125,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed San Francisco Giants35c10,014$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5003053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+53%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres49c10,000$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,15044945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked San Francisco Giants18c8,713$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.669035.6%32 W · 58 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked San Francisco Giants49c7,947$3,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,894.0660%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants14c7,606$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.7612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants50c7,349$3,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.911,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants47c7,012$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,295.741,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked San Diego Padres51c6,927$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.396355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked San Francisco Giants24c6,420$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.9438148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants0c6,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants49c5,717$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.3392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants31c5,653$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.051,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres54c5,436$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.651,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99aa…6c5abacked San Francisco Giants51c5,259$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.214035%14 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Diego Padres43c4,977$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.8631039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants0c4,943$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0340629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres49c4,769$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.23,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed San Diego Padres50c4,444$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22213655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants20c4,435$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.998,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres48c4,166$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.321,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed San Diego Padres45c4,124$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.0516814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed San Francisco Giants48c4,120$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.628258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed San Francisco Giants47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8801,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants48c4,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cb…afe6backed San Francisco Giants48c3,886$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants48c3,648$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.811,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants47c3,503$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.362,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed San Diego Padres59c3,389$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.3438444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres52c3,119$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.939,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed San Diego Padres49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked San Francisco Giants14c2,894$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.152,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed San Francisco Giants47c2,804$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.3836047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants37c2,590$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.381,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres49c2,327$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.7775049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres51c2,256$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.3289153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd375…4096backed San Diego Padres50c2,126$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked San Diego Padres52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.3832850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres50c2,085$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.5425240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed San Diego Padres62c2,059$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd849…6d37backed San Diego Padres49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres54c2,033$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.113,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed San Francisco Giants50c2,032$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01639041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked San Diego Padres57c2,004$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.0710544.8%47 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed San Francisco Giants47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94014647.3%69 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed San Francisco Giants46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92075344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres48c1,935$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.6479147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed San Diego Padres51c1,906$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.729652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants32c1,901$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.078,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed San Diego Padres62c1,900$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72210157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants49c1,729$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.241,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked San Francisco Giants6c1,710$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6341847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants17c1,630$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.624,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants49c1,600$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.156,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed San Francisco Giants47c1,596$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed San Francisco Giants50c1,579$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.743253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked San Diego Padres52c1,540$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.234151.6%176 W · 165 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants40c1,503$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.2410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed San Diego Padres51c1,307$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.5329449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres50c1,243$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6262,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres57c1,117$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.795,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed San Francisco Giants2c1,100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed San Diego Padres68c1,079$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.971,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked San Diego Padres67c1,037$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.2944556.9%253 W · 192 L+27.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants45c1,026$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.091,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed San Diego Padres50c1,004$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.021,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed San Francisco Giants50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed San Francisco Giants50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed San Diego Padres50c972.13$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.131662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed San Diego Padres52c900$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43526759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants19c812.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.918,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants18c811$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.031,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked San Francisco Giants3c808.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6433515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed San Diego Padres69c795$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7547589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed San Diego Padres52c757.96$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.823154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed San Diego Padres50c739.6$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.857744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked San Francisco Giants50c720$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+180.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants46c618$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.281,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed San Francisco Giants47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2826746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed San Francisco Giants48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2887746.8%36 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.