MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a767bda602efaa42087593a88f64b901b66bfd7ffcd819793931e87dd8e7c7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 44c | 66,782$29,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,364.29 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 21,315$11,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,427.81 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 56c | 11,016$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.86 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 8,382$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 7,344$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.24 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Under | 48c | 4,844$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 3,672$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.62 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 56c | 3,672$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.62 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 3,672$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.62 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 3,672$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.62 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Under | 57c | 3,050$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.49 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 43c | 2,926$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.05 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 60c | 2,661$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.14 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 33c | 2,240$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 39c | 2,101$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.88 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 62c | 2,081$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.8 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 73c | 1,085$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.73 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 56c | 1,082$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.93 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 61c | 992.24$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 57c | 773.68$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.76 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 705.47$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 43c | 623.38$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.32 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 41c | 449.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 56c | 413.6$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 58c | 364.55$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 40c | 361.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 18c | 273.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 65c | 254.2$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 57c | 222.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 56c | 199.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 67c | 181.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Under | 27c | 177.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…be63backed Over | 78c | 171$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Over | 60c | 162.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 56c | 138.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Under | 41c | 96.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 37c | 91.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 43c | 88.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ee…c29fbacked Over | 56c | 88.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 45c | 75.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Under | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…dd4dbacked Over | 39c | 65.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 59.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 36c | 53.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 56c | 52.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 51c | 43.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…efd5backed Under | 56c | 40.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Under | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 47c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…a2c9backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Under | 56c | 33.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 56c | 32.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 56c | 31.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Under | 56c | 30.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Under | 69c | 27.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…547cbacked Under | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 55c | 25.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…46f5backed Over | 58c | 24.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…94a0backed Over | 65c | 24.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 24.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under | 47c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…4a75backed Over | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…51e1backed Under | 56c | 20.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Under | 56c | 20.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…652abacked Under | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Under | 56c | 19.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 56c | 18.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 56c | 18.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Under | 60c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 79c | 15.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-5.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.