TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26d8…547c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$18.84
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$41.82
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Spread: Kings (-6.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.07
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+57.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.79
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$8.52
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$6.09
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$19.79
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Quentin Halysbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+147.3%+$18.01
Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$9.99
Credit One Charleston Open: Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazuabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Miami Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$19.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$61.94
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$17.06
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$7.25
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$4.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$18.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$9.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$4.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$4.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.