TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$411,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$423,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c99,798$49,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,498.131,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c51,384$26,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,033.82,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c33,848$16,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,750.099,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under51c30,739$15,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,677.0714842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Over49c27,730$13,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,142.313145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c17,145$8,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,566.041,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0a…dda0backed Over70c13,910$9,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,175.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c13,296$6,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,647.937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c11,438$5,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,779.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under51c11,341$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,783.815935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c10,535$5,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,267.361,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c10,486$4,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,255.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c9,687$4,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.2832351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c9,687$4,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.2890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c8,985$4,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,582.181,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c8,193$4,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,215.692,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under9c7,878$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.0117042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c7,818$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.2214251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c98…fc7ebacked Under51c6,846$3,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,491.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under26c6,836$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.251,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under36c6,680$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.2619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under50c6,013$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.2812450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Under51c5,951$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.793745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under51c5,017$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.6721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Under39c4,772$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.086741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Over50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under51c3,767$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.127143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under50c3,665$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.1421943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over50c3,435$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.3931643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c3,219$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.4464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c3,084$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under27c3,017$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under47c2,596$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.462748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2503046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Under50c2,454$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.054032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c2,433$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.3870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Under50c2,430$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21513946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under22c2,141$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.7652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c2,049$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.6541649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over50c2,043$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.417100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under51c1,977$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.455561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Under51c1,941$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.012941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9701747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c1,933$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.3389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d94…541abacked Under51c1,915$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Under50c1,760$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.48248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,759$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.31,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd26…294bbacked Over50c1,552$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7762343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under50c1,521$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.129344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3717…e6dcbacked Over67c1,514$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.129874.5%73 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe44c…e4cdbacked Over50c1,460$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under50c1,459$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Under50c1,416$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Under51c1,396$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.874045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over71c1,390$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6833837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over50c1,358$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67938453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under49c1,311$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.4849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked Over34c1,280$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.541631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c1,245$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.7489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Under51c1,142$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.3612542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c1,039$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.5852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over49c1,031$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.593246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over50c1,021$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.6133251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Over72c1,011$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7511149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under39c1,007$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.842,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26076653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Under50c980$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c976.4$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Over49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.3913339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under50c947.03$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5244740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Over79c938$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.4710144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under51c915.09$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.7345251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over72c891.67$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.072,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over56c888.06$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.9316159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c799.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over50c776$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38825155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Over49c775.52$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5211153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c745$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over49c740.36$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.8110149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c734.84$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.413,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c651.41$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.1962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c634.72$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.481,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under14c601.2$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6819937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over50c598.98$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.053743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd92…9f45backed Over52c548.73$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over73c548.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under51c547.42$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdaebacked Under11c542.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…c6e7backed Under51c540.62$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Over52c514.75$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0810245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Under9c511.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.289642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under33c497.34$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…af42backed Over50c494.7$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x150c…cbb4backed Under59c494.39$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.661233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.