TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under52c60,732$31,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,580.7815545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c50,935$24,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,486.281,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under53c29,473$15,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,620.7114842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over58c24,920$14,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,517.031,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under36c22,365$7,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,950.811,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c15,325$7,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,282.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0801070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+395.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under21c3,547$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.5952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3417249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c1,335$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.871,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under45c1,332$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.451,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over49c1,246$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.4420647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over48c1,090$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.7514145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over47c1,075$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.6931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53017740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.483348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c936.46$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.871,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c880$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over57c845.29$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3919937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over48c807.33$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.8123251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over48c786.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.136448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under52c769.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3911556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under56c699.79$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x968f…5129backed Over48c607.32$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.681030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.867441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6928046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over48c565.78$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.219845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b0…4362backed Under52c550$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2862060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf71f…3cafbacked Over48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2862343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3269…d5b3backed Under52c550$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2862157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under52c494.3$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9844345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over48c484.4$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over52c466.92$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1215543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over47c429.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.184047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9f…ab58backed Over48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2082166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c396.56$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c393.75$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.691,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under53c388.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0221653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c377.31$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.111,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under53c373.74$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0832151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c368.84$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.551,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over48c354.58$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3819348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under56c347.83$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7265339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.510854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x079d…18ffbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562025%5 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Over48c290.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.134763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c285.54$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.192,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over66c271.34$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under52c266.42$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.551,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under46c266.02$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.482,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over47c264.32$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.091,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c249.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Over48c242.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9411050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over47c242.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2914731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over44c241.43$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under42c232.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over48c227.67$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.397350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a69…4483backed Over48c211.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Under29c209.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.273231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9bd…3947backed Over48c203.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…28b7backed Over48c201.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over48c199.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7822351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over47c193.11$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.358348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28eb…0827backed Under53c192.53$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…e22ebacked Under53c191$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.259652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.258453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x878c…2f83backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.653056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over8c183$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over47c181.94$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over46c165.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5820146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under36c153.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c151.37$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5c…8645backed Under52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under53c146.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over51c145.56$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8127745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Under52c136.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.219558.9%56 W · 39 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over48c115.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9526147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked Under54c113.45$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.265151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over48c112.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Under52c99.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.916741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4525360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over47c98.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb29b…5568backed Over60c97.59$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.921952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5148957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over47c95.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.43545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Over47c94.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.052347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6838152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd1…7e42backed Under52c85.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.412050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over58c84.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8118850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c81.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.813837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over47c76.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over48c73.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.651,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Over48c72.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7814753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Over45c71.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.345560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over48c70.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.735736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.