Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf58188228333438ee0308564c4731342a0b59a78dbee2a1a309c3f9d7bda5b1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Team Yandex, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,239,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,342,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,239,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 178,654$67,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,444.01 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 60c | 85,125$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Team Yandex | 8c | 72,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 55,156$17,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,716.1 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 51,405$27,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,572.5 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Yandex | 57c | 51,297$29,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,222.23 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Yandex | 59c | 49,169$28,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,929.64 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 28,726$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,482.29 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex | 53c | 26,970$14,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,365.17 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 23,757$16,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,633.84 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Team Yandex | 69c | 21,393$14,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,728.37 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 20,693$11,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,587.99 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 20,548$8,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,712.34 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 19,779$6,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,859.7 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Yandex | 76c | 19,050$14,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,436.53 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Yandex | 58c | 16,963$9,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,838.27 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 16,949$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,833.99 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 16,626$7,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,488.53 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 14,800$6,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,407.44 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 14,698$9,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,677.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 12,625$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,875.45 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Yandex | 68c | 12,354$8,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,413.03 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 11,782$6,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,824.05 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 11,348$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.75 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 11,146$6,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.14 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 10,935$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,232.88 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 10,500$6,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,854.53 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 10,331$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,401.51 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 10,258$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 10,182$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…bd9fbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 10,000$6,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,198.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 9,834$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,833.94 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 9,620$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,669.32 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 8,770$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.95 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 8,767$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.93 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 8,076$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Yandex | 71c | 8,064$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.8 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 8,060$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.88 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Yandex | 58c | 7,804$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.05 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Team Yandex | 21c | 7,449$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.74 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…8e6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 7,229$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 7,151$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.92 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 7,115$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 7,114$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.06 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…ffaabacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex | 56c | 6,917$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.64 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 6,824$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Yandex | 56c | 6,771$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Yandex | 27c | 6,746$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.93 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 6,735$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.61 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 6,666$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.04 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed Team Yandex | 66c | 6,665$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 6,600$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 6,564$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.98 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Yandex | 78c | 6,032$4,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.69 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 5,900$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.63 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 5,630$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.49 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex | 62c | 5,578$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.9 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 5,529$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.49 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 5,474$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.46 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 5,438$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.48 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Yandex | 56c | 5,429$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.06 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 5,320$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.15 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 5,230$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 5,181$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.88 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…5905backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 4,985$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.84 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 4,955$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.69 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 4,833$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.71 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…30dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 4,316$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.68 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Yandex | 58c | 4,239$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.63 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 4,237$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Yandex | 50c | 4,094$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.63 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 3,985$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.62 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b5…99cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 3,965$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.4 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 3,965$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.99 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 3,772$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.33 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 3,763$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.58 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 3,721$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.81 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Yandex | 79c | 3,600$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.96 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 3,562$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.46 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 3,500$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.69 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 3,497$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.46 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 3,492$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.8 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 3,452$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.24 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 3,350$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…6243backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 3,344$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.52 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 3,261$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.19 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 3,100$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.05 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Yandex | 27c | 3,053$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.61 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Team Yandex | 73c | 3,040$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.58 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 3,027$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.02 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 3,000$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.5 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Yandex | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex | 37c | 3,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.