MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c6f1096e6b8c1358909daa93336626977c25e96e08170ba5b17e6d40d619bcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Minnesota Twins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $461,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 47,634$19,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,287.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 38,157$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.37 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 66c | 37,705$24,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,849.6 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed New York Mets | 60c | 35,586$21,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,266.15 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 25,956$13,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,756.52 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…b872backed New York Mets | 59c | 24,916$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,215.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 15,243$6,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,171.62 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Mets | 56c | 14,817$8,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.69 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 12,061$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.42 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Mets | 66c | 10,451$6,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.98 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 9,369$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 9,192$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 9,000$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.97 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 6,574$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.88 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Mets | 57c | 6,358$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.22 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 57c | 5,886$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.35 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 5,882$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed New York Mets | 59c | 4,910$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.13 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 58c | 4,749$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.55 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 4,210$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.16 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 51c | 4,022$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.78 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 75c | 3,858$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed New York Mets | 63c | 3,625$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.14 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed New York Mets | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked Minnesota Twins | 16c | 3,427$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 3,250$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.45 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 2,830$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.66 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,758$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.24 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,483$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.68 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ac…1244backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,468$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked New York Mets | 70c | 2,364$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.27 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Mets | 68c | 2,270$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.83 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed New York Mets | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 58c | 1,946$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.21 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 68c | 1,890$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 74c | 1,792$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.22 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,687$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.93 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 1,635$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.85 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…6b6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,565$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed New York Mets | 68c | 1,564$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.05 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 1,539$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.87 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,455$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.55 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 1,435$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.86 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,416$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.76 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,393$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.91 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,266$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.25 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 1,196$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.56 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,149$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 1,135$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 1,128$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.07 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 13c | 1,097$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,087$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.65 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,083$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.58 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,074$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.45 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 1,059$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.21 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,020$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 990.49$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 971.8$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.15 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 970.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 901.53$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.36 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 892.06$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.85 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 836.51$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked New York Mets | 78c | 834.09$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed New York Mets | 58c | 832.39$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.6 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…fe92backed New York Mets | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 58c | 825.8$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.07 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked New York Mets | 54c | 774$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 770.16$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.57 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 761.62$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 707.08$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.23 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 64c | 689.27$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets | 58c | 676.2$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 666.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 655.37$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.26 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked New York Mets | 58c | 641.22$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.31 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked New York Mets | 59c | 611.69$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets | 59c | 580$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 544$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 535.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…4342backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 529.35$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Minnesota Twins | 27c | 489.83$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets | 66c | 455.56$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.12 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 455.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 450$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 447.85$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Mets | 73c | 435.4$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked New York Mets | 69c | 405.62$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…b4a1backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 402.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Mets | 62c | 390.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 390.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked New York Mets | 78c | 380.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…1e0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 8c | 375.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed New York Mets | 61c | 354.14$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 352.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.