MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x926a318780704699042d9dbc73befd5991313fb9ffc39936fe8bde04e9dfe881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 49c | 11,508$5,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,639.16 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 10,596$5,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.13 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 10,389$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.82 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 56c | 10,387$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.59 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 6,588$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.47 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 4,605$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.49 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 44c | 3,734$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.88 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 3,375$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.7 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 49c | 3,319$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.35 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,428$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.44 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 2,396$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.96 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 49c | 1,750$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 51c | 1,365$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.62 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 1,154$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.26 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 44c | 988.36$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.88 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 963.46$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 51c | 951.71$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 51c | 915$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.35 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 874.08$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.56 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 822.23$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.78 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 37c | 761.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.13 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 750$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 716.99$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.32 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 646.62$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.09 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 52c | 641.38$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.86 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 618.82$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 563.51$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 559.38$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.44 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 541.94$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 346.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.48 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 49c | 232.69$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 44c | 229.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 50c | 210.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 43c | 199.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 192.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 172.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 169.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 160.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 159.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…be63backed Over | 67c | 150.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 67c | 148.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 10c | 139.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Over | 49c | 119.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 109.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Under | 51c | 105.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over | 51c | 98.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 50c | 88.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 78.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 50c | 76.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Over | 49c | 70.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 51c | 55.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 50c | 54.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 48.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…c264backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 45.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 29c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 49c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 23.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 67c | 23.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 80c | 22.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 71c | 22.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…b671backed Over | 72c | 20.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 56c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ee…c29fbacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-5.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.