TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$444,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$469,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under49c213,987$104,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,771.2587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c212,288$108,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,143.7532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under50c35,579$17,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,789.6720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over50c33,297$16,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,666.297650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c17,493$9,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,312.3964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c12,707$6,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,233.761,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c11,990$5,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,975.012,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00052052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c6,420$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over52c5,254$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.7512450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c4,449$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.641,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…ede2backed Over58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under48c3,315$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.2616249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c3,302$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.951,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under36c3,260$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.781,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c2,567$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.6255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under50c2,422$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.1982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c2,353$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under21c2,235$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over52c2,215$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.1132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c2,118$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.642,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over51c2,051$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.8566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over73c1,881$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.531,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,854$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under42c1,800$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74711757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c1,799$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.3965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd988…cbe4backed Under46c1,757$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.181625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9a5…0565backed Under51c1,674$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.61911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-82%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under49c1,638$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.8115952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under50c1,226$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4441449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.952572%18 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+46.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c1,051$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,027$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.84,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c1,005$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under46c858.22$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7812240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under50c755.29$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.19651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under50c717.32$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.6632450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c667.3$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.981,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Under46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under51c564.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.141533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed Under50c551.27$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.648456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c549.68$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Under46c543.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.799642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f9…f9bcbacked Under5c530.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x558e…2ee7backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.26145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under50c465.96$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over52c462.8$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0214854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c453.94$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.431,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under50c411.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4157051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under50c400.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19211157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c391.72$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.628043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c379.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over52c375.05$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ad…dffebacked Under46c361.54$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c329.48$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over51c320$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Over53c318.58$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.292740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910b…6c23backed Under29c292.85$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over52c259.62$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6221950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under49c252.08$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5236852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12042853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x600b…14b1backed Under50c240.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.113135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fcc…063cbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over51c206.5$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2147349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4529352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4668…3b66backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c197$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.471,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1929345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under48c161.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7510545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7512540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.511354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3424…8b87backed Over54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.151546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Over50c144.22$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1115149.7%75 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over53c140.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.844540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1c3…c2e6backed Under46c128.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4db6…5a6abacked Over52c127.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.36128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.41per pick49cpaid-83.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Under48c125.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.663669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under46c121.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9817547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b37…039dbacked Over50c117.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.583360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf80…b6e3backed Under20c112.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2148…3da9backed Under49c106.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.384641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over52c105.03$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.