TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb652…2db4backed Under49c25,464$12,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,477.537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c13,458$6,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,708.9855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over50c10,392$5,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,196.0112450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ac…1635backed Over50c7,714$3,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c5,538$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.6248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c5,500$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9151,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003030%9 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over48c3,677$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.139447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under50c3,140$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5704951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under50c3,100$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5504042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under50c3,012$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over51c3,000$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.7265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under49c2,007$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.556261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06013642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c1,969$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c1,584$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.638450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under53c1,375$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.7510645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c1,210$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over52c1,206$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.762352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over47c1,062$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.716740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Under50c1,002$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under53c938.41$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over51c931.88$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.625839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under52c699.99$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36411242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under53c641.5$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34022948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under25c639.34$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.431,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over47c638.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2914148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c552.54$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under54c500$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.781,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c405.92$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.741,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c401$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under50c399.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.968744.8%39 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c392.24$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.891,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1638432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c380$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over52c309.62$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.622857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c283.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Under53c275$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.758556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c267.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9470…1b9fbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under53c183.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.21,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaae6…65e7backed Under53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1af…9d53backed Under53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c5…8a52backed Under53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over50c120.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3610545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Under53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.33551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under52c104.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041e…bc83backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe67…fc79backed Under53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under22c102.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5321640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.048037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x32f9…9725backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012753.5%68 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1901…7b79backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0416555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Under49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Under50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c74.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c70.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.221,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d5…138ebacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Over47c57.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.951,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under53c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1510753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under53c54.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.530256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5520…6938backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207548%36 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over51c39.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.531,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2236350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over48c37.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Under54c36.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88742.5%37 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Over51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3716146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1525651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf791…ae5bbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152020%4 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under53c29.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7538751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8449852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over80c27.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7610941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd875…ad68backed Under50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118167.9%55 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under53c21.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.212160.3%73 W · 48 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.