TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,977 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe768…b331backed Yes52c459.99$239 inLost-$239.1939864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked No48c435.13$209 inWon+$226.2712451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No43c252.86$109 inWon+$143.9390863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Yes57c245.71$140 inLost-$14012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb719…c1e1backed No49c113$56 inWon+$57.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes52c105.61$55 inLost-$54.7226755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No42c104.65$44 inWon+$60.785449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Yes58c69.05$40 inLost-$4011645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked No48c62.8$30 inWon+$32.811347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a4…6f8fbacked Yes51c57.36$29 inLost-$291216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Yes57c56$32 inLost-$31.827237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No42c52.49$22 inWon+$30.233049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No41c49.2$20 inWon+$29.1179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1815…e217backed Yes59c48$28 inLost-$28.258855.7%49 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No42c47.95$20 inWon+$27.811,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes58c36.21$21 inLost-$214139%16 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Yes57c35$20 inLost-$2011450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No43c34.12$15 inWon+$19.3996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No43c30$13 inWon+$17.133556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No46c28.94$13 inWon+$15.7633356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes59c25.27$15 inLost-$14.9984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92e6…3978backed Yes58c23.14$13 inLost-$13.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a7…40f7backed No44c22.94$10 inWon+$12.843770.3%26 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.