Tennis · resolved market
Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67ceb9c8e9de2c684241490c7ed9204abb7f59188a6dd7bff9962c78df4e9ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbcf…87b8backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…a393backed Under | 47c | 9,682$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,131.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 54c | 992.64$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.78 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Under | 53c | 679.2$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.43 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Over | 59c | 500$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Over | 54c | 216.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 179.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 52c | 152.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 131.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 46c | 85.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Under | 47c | 67.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…9901backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 34.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 54c | 29.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…4d53backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs BublikBublik won
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)Bublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.