Tennis · resolved market
Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7f475e166a0290fbd3d7529ff59d889ac9b5fc4bb24592d50883a257b7f1593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Under 2.5 | 63c | 2,700$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over 2.5 | 37c | 2,158$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.38 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over 2.5 | 37c | 1,249$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 58c | 896.24$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.42 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 697.06$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Under 2.5 | 59c | 641.21$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.74 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Over 2.5 | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…4789backed Over 2.5 | 37c | 468.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Over 2.5 | 48c | 441.11$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 2.5 | 50c | 337.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Under 2.5 | 77c | 320.19$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…3b6cbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 277.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…57a3backed Over 2.5 | 49c | 273.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…592dbacked Under 2.5 | 65c | 268.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 254.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over 2.5 | 46c | 213.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…0ce5backed Under 2.5 | 67c | 128.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Under 2.5 | 66c | 108.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 106.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 102.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Under 2.5 | 67c | 99.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Under 2.5 | 67c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 2.5 | 34c | 58.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Under 2.5 | 79c | 49.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 40.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…566dbacked Under 2.5 | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 36.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Under 2.5 | 72c | 23.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Under 2.5 | 74c | 18.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs BublikBublik won
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)Bublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.