Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a1c2472b6f4d17b827e6e07f4c0ae5c27c7f0ac80f3f361a5e6cd6c857ba549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Lehecka, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Bublik | 78c | 6,331$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.57 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lehecka | 33c | 2,915$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.13 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Lehecka | 37c | 2,202$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.95 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Lehecka | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lehecka | 32c | 827.09$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.22 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Lehecka | 2c | 661.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Bublik | 67c | 586$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Bublik | 67c | 452.81$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.43 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Bublik | 67c | 438.02$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…bbb5backed Bublik | 69c | 353.39$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lehecka | 33c | 318$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lehecka | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Bublik | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Lehecka | 33c | 289.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Lehecka | 35c | 207.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lehecka | 31c | 203.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Bublik | 50c | 173.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Lehecka | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bublik | 65c | 93.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Bublik | 66c | 51.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Lehecka | 35c | 45.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Bublik | 68c | 43.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Lehecka | 37c | 38.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Lehecka | 35c | 29.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Bublik | 71c | 22.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 308 | 60.1%185 W · 123 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…da7fbacked Bublik | 69c | 20.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 128 | 74.2%95 W · 33 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Bublik | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs BublikBublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.