Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9402534b52de8f516f0a7ded15ea9d3823a3fa82c6d25c4ccf0a7a443aad0f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Lehecka, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Bublik | 51c | 5,637$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.4 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lehecka | 48c | 2,491$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.69 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lehecka | 48c | 1,808$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.15 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Lehecka | 57c | 1,721$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.95 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Bublik | 49c | 491.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lehecka | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lehecka | 52c | 278.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Bublik | 54c | 251.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Lehecka | 42c | 230.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lehecka | 52c | 206$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Bublik | 43c | 175.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…edcfbacked Lehecka | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Bublik | 44c | 133.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Lehecka | 54c | 67.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bublik | 47c | 51.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Lehecka | 51c | 50.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Lehecka | 57c | 50.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Lehecka | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bublik | 44c | 46.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Bublik | 46c | 26.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lehecka | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Lehecka | 51c | 19.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Bublikthis page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik won
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)Bublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.