TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6eea…da7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT12874.2%95 W · 33 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$39.81
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$6.48
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$11.84
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.98
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+41%+$9.85
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$9.98
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$7.75
BMW Open: Vit Kopriva vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou Bergsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$12.74
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$6.88
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$4.35
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$3.71
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.05
Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+57%+$6.08
Set Handicap: Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)backed Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.93
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$8.53
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jesper de Jongbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$10.67
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$9.74
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.4%+$17.73
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25.1%+$15.81
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.6%+$23.14
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.4%+$18.12
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.7%+$8.01
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.