NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a1c31563e19d2cb6a19754cb44c30ee0545a2cd016c88edea12c371cd865af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,549,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,859,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,549,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Cavaliers | 64c | 100,000$64,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,999.96 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 6c | 94,370$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.51 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Pistons | 42c | 92,312$38,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,346.66 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 27c | 59,026$15,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,722.97 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Pistons | 40c | 48,847$19,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,249.07 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 40c | 44,859$17,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,878.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 34c | 42,791$14,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,549.99 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers | 63c | 35,000$22,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,049.97 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 41c | 31,433$12,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,636.46 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Pistons | 37c | 30,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,999.95 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab9…6e8ebacked Cavaliers | 0c | 25,860$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 65c | 24,967$16,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,258.41 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 35c | 23,951$8,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,330.77 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Pistons | 77c | 22,486$17,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253.44 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 22c | 21,475$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.63 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Pistons | 36c | 17,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,840 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Cavaliers | 65c | 17,000$11,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,010 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 32c | 16,940$5,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 38c | 16,560$6,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,243.14 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 36c | 15,810$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,114.94 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…ad4cbacked Cavaliers | 0c | 15,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons | 37c | 15,674$5,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,874.63 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Pistons | 39c | 14,988$5,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,110.46 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 63c | 14,874$9,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,323.32 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 58c | 14,862$8,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,595.02 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 14,562$8,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,638.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Cavaliers | 41c | 14,194$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Cavaliers | 43c | 13,820$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.79 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons | 73c | 13,650$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.44 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 38c | 12,882$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,965.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Cavaliers | 31c | 12,814$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.24 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers | 37c | 12,569$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.18 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 42c | 12,223$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Pistons | 37c | 11,766$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,374 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 11,761$7,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,371.02 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Cavaliers | 64c | 11,110$7,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,110.37 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Cavaliers | 63c | 10,033$6,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,320.79 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Pistons | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Cavaliers | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cavaliers | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers | 13c | 9,521$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.92 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pistons | 42c | 8,892$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.37 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Cavaliers | 34c | 8,523$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.87 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 38c | 7,855$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.37 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Cavaliers | 15c | 7,783$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.49 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 41c | 7,511$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 69c | 7,500$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Cavaliers | 64c | 6,909$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.65 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Cavaliers | 69c | 6,600$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.98 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 35c | 6,385$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…95c3backed Pistons | 72c | 6,214$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.94 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Pistons | 36c | 6,067$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.67 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Cavaliers | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.89 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Pistons | 53c | 5,800$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Cavaliers | 3c | 5,699$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.95 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Pistons | 37c | 5,421$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.38 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…e375backed Cavaliers | 64c | 5,358$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 5,348$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.27 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 63c | 5,013$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Cavaliers | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Cavaliers | 58c | 4,796$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.59 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 39c | 4,719$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.39 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Pistons | 45c | 4,500$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.5 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 4,377$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Cavaliers | 47c | 4,314$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.54 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Cavaliers | 58c | 4,235$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.3 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Cavaliers | 56c | 4,075$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.5 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 63c | 4,000$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.69 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 37c | 3,728$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.79 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pistons | 60c | 3,705$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.85 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Cavaliers | 44c | 3,700$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.99 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons | 37c | 3,687$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.63 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 3,681$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.43 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 54c | 3,577$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.65 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Pistons | 40c | 3,554$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.44 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Cavaliers | 58c | 3,512$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.82 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Cavaliers | 17c | 3,508$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Cavaliers | 7c | 3,500$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.74 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pistons | 70c | 3,490$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pistons | 36c | 3,380$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.5 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Cavaliers | 63c | 3,380$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.23 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Cavaliers | 61c | 3,141$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.23 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Pistons | 49c | 3,036$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Pistons | 51c | 3,032$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.34 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cavaliers | 1c | 3,031$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…c951backed Pistons | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Cavaliers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…48d7backed Cavaliers | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 50c | 2,998$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 2,969$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.23 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…5e07backed Pistons | 36c | 2,952$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,900$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d86fbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 2,800$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Cavaliers | 36c | 2,782$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cavaliers | 64c | 2,650$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.47 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 37c | 2,580$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.53 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Pistons | 37c | 2,560$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.3 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458e…fa79backed Pistons | 36c | 2,550$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.