NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d35a7aa650cbbe1ee3bc24d521821a457ba4a7e2cda4f05ccb42da0ae95260e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Cavaliers | 52c | 38,500$20,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,020 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Pistons | 48c | 33,989$16,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,674.2 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 52c | 16,623$8,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,975.88 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 53c | 10,200$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.99 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 53c | 7,786$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.11 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Cavaliers | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.98 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Cavaliers | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 6,179$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.58 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 47c | 6,005$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.65 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 48c | 5,912$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Cavaliers | 55c | 4,575$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Pistons | 53c | 4,532$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,194$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,073$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.86 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 48c | 2,912$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.07 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,881$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.69 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 45c | 2,026$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,925$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,234$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,148$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,049$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Pistons | 48c | 908.33$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.33 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Pistons | 49c | 889.8$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.8 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Pistons | 48c | 853.96$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.06 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Pistons | 45c | 730.75$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.91 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Cavaliers | 50c | 700$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 627.03$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.7 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 570.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.36 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Cavaliers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…4e38backed Pistons | 59c | 509.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Pistons | 48c | 481.48$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.37 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 41c | 478.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Cavaliers | 52c | 446.15$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pistons | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pistons | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 52c | 350.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…7579backed Cavaliers | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pistons | 49c | 229.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cavaliers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Cavaliers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Pistons | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pistons | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Pistons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Cavaliers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Cavaliers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 188.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pistons | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Cavaliers | 47c | 114.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Cavaliers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Pistons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Pistons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Pistons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 100.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pistons | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d292backed Cavaliers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 53c | 94.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Cavaliers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Cavaliers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Pistons | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…4252backed Cavaliers | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Cavaliers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…0df0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 56.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Pistons | 58c | 51.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 50.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pistons | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Cavaliers | 46c | 49.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Cavaliers | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Pistons | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cavaliers | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Pistons | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Pistons | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Pistons | 48c | 39.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Pistons | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Cavaliers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…3264backed Cavaliers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02f1…6109backed Cavaliers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pistons | 48c | 34.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Pistons | 54c | 33.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pistons | 49c | 31.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Pistons | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Pistons | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Pistons | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Pistons | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 28.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.