NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a3c39e35852a652204fc05886095d798f56b619bb02689a2aed3c76ac9d1fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 52c | 113,798$58,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,920.44 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Cavaliers | 48c | 108,328$52,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,406.86 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 53c | 19,105$10,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,047.97 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…a4c9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 17,959$8,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,620.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Cavaliers | 47c | 12,000$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pistons | 53c | 10,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…1339backed Cavaliers | 48c | 9,167$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 55c | 6,532$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,448$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.93 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Cavaliers | 54c | 5,167$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 46c | 5,130$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Cavaliers | 42c | 4,524$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 2,823$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.76 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Pistons | 57c | 2,758$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.94 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…6fa7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…4fabbacked Pistons | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,967$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,104$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.8 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 44c | 1,078$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.39 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 18c | 1,025$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.82 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Pistons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Pistons | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pistons | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 47c | 594$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.88 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pistons | 51c | 549.17$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.6 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pistons | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…dd84backed Pistons | 53c | 385.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 53c | 281.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 52c | 280.71$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 56c | 259.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Pistons | 53c | 239.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Pistons | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Pistons | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Pistons | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3470…c622backed Cavaliers | 49c | 195.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Pistons | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Pistons | 54c | 185.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Cavaliers | 56c | 180.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Pistons | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Pistons | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons | 56c | 159$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pistons | 63c | 147$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Pistons | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Cavaliers | 16c | 116.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Pistons | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Pistons | 53c | 109.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Pistons | 49c | 101.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pistons | 54c | 100.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Pistons | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Pistons | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…d0cfbacked Pistons | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Pistons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Cavaliers | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Cavaliers | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Pistons | 52c | 80.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Pistons | 52c | 74.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Pistons | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…4252backed Pistons | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pistons | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…cff9backed Pistons | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…55e9backed Pistons | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…aa69backed Cavaliers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Cavaliers | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Cavaliers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…7f27backed Cavaliers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…3be4backed Cavaliers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…52e6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Pistons | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Pistons | 53c | 48.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 46c | 47.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…376abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Cavaliers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Pistons | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 114 | 71.9%82 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Pistons | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Pistons | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Pistons | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Pistons | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Pistons | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Pistons | 52c | 31.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Pistons | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Pistons | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Pistons | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked Pistons | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Pistons | 68c | 27.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.