TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$368,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61ef…5a75backed Yes46c87,412$40,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,583.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No54c70,000$37,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,199.973644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No53c32,031$16,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,052.944742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes46c18,074$8,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,313.923946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed No52c14,985$7,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,123.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No50c8,982$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,491.1317557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No54c8,688$4,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.5910246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No54c7,385$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.115438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No47c7,000$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,71010057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c6,266$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes52c6,132$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.0485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes50c4,950$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47515757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes50c4,494$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24712532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No47c4,203$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.473171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd707…9ecabacked Yes6c3,994$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7154358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c3,279$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes45c2,907$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.632725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed No46c2,680$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No51c2,662$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.145560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66f2…2badbacked No45c2,533$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbd…93f9backed Yes55c2,189$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6f…6487backed Yes54c2,154$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe794…321cbacked Yes54c1,986$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed Yes54c1,952$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.450%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed No46c1,834$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe71…38d2backed Yes54c1,778$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes54c1,671$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.34333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2b…73a0backed No45c1,645$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes54c1,625$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb8…eea6backed Yes55c1,604$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed Yes54c1,596$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6517…573fbacked Yes3c1,580$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes4c1,500$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.553134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes41c1,463$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ab…434bbacked Yes54c1,426$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b8…ac4cbacked Yes55c1,422$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes54c1,398$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45f0…4435backed Yes54c1,306$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…92cabacked No46c1,294$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d5…1caebacked No46c1,221$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes55c1,204$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes14c1,200$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70e7…4a70backed Yes55c1,101$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Yes43c1,090$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4662245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed No46c1,067$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed No45c1,043$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked No45c1,037$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c1,029$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes54c1,012$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes54c1,010$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed Yes55c1,006$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac45…1dcfbacked No46c995$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2f…a8aabacked Yes54c993$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6177…c22abacked No46c991$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c9…99aabacked No46c968$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…f7eabacked No46c964$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x184f…a48fbacked Yes54c934$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd2…ae40backed No46c934$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No39c918.9$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5321853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1502…be53backed No46c909$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de5…9416backed No46c909$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+103.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7270…add3backed Yes54c906$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.24540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes54c901$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…990dbacked No45c894$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc351…08f7backed No46c892$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…9ca7backed No46c882$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+208.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes54c880$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ed…ec87backed Yes55c880$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0657backed No46c880$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.24100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+168.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes54c873$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.4240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked No45c872$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86e…e0ecbacked No46c857$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes54c854$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x154e…ed0cbacked Yes59c840$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f404backed No46c835$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090c…3c25backed No45c815$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d09…42b7backed No46c810$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…67fbbacked No46c805$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37646651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed No46c796$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d6…e50fbacked Yes55c795$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…db77backed No47c793$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6537…fcecbacked No46c791$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed No45c786$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ba…e6cebacked No45c784$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1617…ec98backed No46c780$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f183backed No46c779$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed No45c777$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+122.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5544…802abacked No46c777$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…d1bebacked Yes55c775$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3143…cd52backed No46c767$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick57cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes48c755$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbe…04b4backed No46c752$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…34e0backed No46c738$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c42…1616backed Yes54c738$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c1…6512backed Yes54c736$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5885…6562backed Yes55c722$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.