TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes24c6,361$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,834.982,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c5,628$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.394,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes27c5,058$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.413148.4%15 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c4,751$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.046,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1502…be53backed No75c2,293$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c6f…469fbacked Yes17c1,480$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252c…391abacked Yes16c1,426$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed No76c1,314$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes14c1,306$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+208.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed No1c1,205$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.465614.3%8 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No75c1,200$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6702…0051backed Yes16c1,172$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid+3.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc319…6baabacked Yes18c1,070$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.43100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+358.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3684…9669backed Yes15c1,058$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes17c1,037$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+110.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes23c1,026$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.742725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes15c1,024$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.34520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…9416backed Yes16c990$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+103.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…91a9backed Yes30c937$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa347…2a40backed Yes26c922$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…a152backed Yes16c900$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fcc…8ef0backed Yes26c877$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc98…62ecbacked Yes18c855$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79a1…2d87backed Yes16c854$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+280.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffff…35bebacked Yes18c850$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6971100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes12c845$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+281.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99ab…edc1backed Yes15c802$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+163.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed Yes15c792$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed Yes17c760$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+189.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a10…e442backed No71c742$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes12c741$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+139.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes14c695.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.7726229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes15c695$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…703cbacked Yes29c694$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+70%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd008…e9dbbacked Yes29c668$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+139.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked No77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No70c637$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-76.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5be7…46eebacked Yes17c609$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+86.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad04…dce5backed Yes12c607$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick14cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff0c…36eebacked Yes17c593$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+267.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes15c592$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+122.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b0…9f87backed No10c563$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…af42backed No76c550$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x673d…e929backed Yes23c539$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f3…e6aabacked Yes17c528$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+141.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes14c516.57$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.519732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No70c514.07$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked No71c514.02$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3754259.5%25 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c473.08$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x965d…7773backed Yes15c472$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.2650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+71.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c8…e61bbacked Yes16c461$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf7…5122backed Yes15c458$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ef…5a75backed No75c457.66$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes16c436$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.28930.3%27 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes17c394$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+148.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed No29c391.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.571369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No13c385.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.115129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5322…95e1backed Yes15c378$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes17c369$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes22c367.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.951,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5481…50ecbacked Yes17c347$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.01450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+155.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf977…1690backed Yes18c339$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71fb…9b65backed Yes18c332$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb593…28eabacked Yes18c325$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+128.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes23c319.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.883345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…aa1abacked Yes17c318$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+96.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a92…d2e9backed Yes16c318$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+126.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa098…81e4backed Yes16c316$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes11c311.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9413832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes21c303.39$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.82812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5d…5f6abacked Yes17c299$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd215…b4eebacked Yes17c298$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6317…e864backed Yes14c297$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+341.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd4…c334backed Yes14c282$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+332.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed Yes18c280$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+130.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce16…b18ebacked Yes15c277$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes16c271$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.761,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes15c256$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+159.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes12c255.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.955957.6%34 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed Yes26c240$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes15c230.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9815726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes24c230$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.820425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed Yes14c224$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+151.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed No76c223.68$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702475%18 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes27c218.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.392245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed No78c217.95$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704468.2%30 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes18c217$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c214$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes26c185$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.93551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes24c169$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.442259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4901…8832backed Yes21c167.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+61.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed Yes15c164$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+122.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No77c155.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.561,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes15c150$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.533124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes15c149.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4951847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No40c147.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7441956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes14c145$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+102.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes45c141.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7557150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.