NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10298d8718566e9f9f52b8ff70c8718c0aa85c8582f68080ad72ff14b3c20b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Spurs, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $776,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $838,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $776,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 50c | 456,010$227,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228,102.04 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 50c | 161,144$80,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,572.15 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 50c | 103,613$51,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,806.35 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 50c | 75,270$37,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,350.18 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Warriors | 51c | 41,553$21,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,361.02 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Spurs | 50c | 24,248$12,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,124 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Warriors | 49c | 24,096$11,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,288.75 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 50c | 23,375$11,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,735.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 51c | 20,519$10,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,079.82 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 50c | 19,441$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720.32 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Spurs | 50c | 19,400$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 56c | 19,399$10,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,915.79 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 51c | 17,102$8,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,363.06 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Spurs | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Spurs | 50c | 11,167$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.88 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Spurs | 50c | 10,400$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 49c | 9,998$4,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.78 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 51c | 7,897$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.58 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Warriors | 50c | 7,707$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.65 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Spurs | 49c | 7,634$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.61 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Warriors | 27c | 7,218$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,241.07 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 50c | 6,984$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.03 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Spurs | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Spurs | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 51c | 5,398$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.9 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 64c | 4,931$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Spurs | 51c | 4,758$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.5 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Warriors | 80c | 4,208$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.32 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 49c | 4,122$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…f082backed Spurs | 51c | 3,926$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 50c | 3,565$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,564$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.6 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Spurs | 72c | 2,742$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.11 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 51c | 2,543$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.06 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Warriors | 27c | 2,203$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +183%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Spurs | 78c | 2,178$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.6 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Spurs | 76c | 2,139$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.2 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 50c | 2,082$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.46 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Spurs | 51c | 2,043$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.26 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Warriors | 69c | 1,703$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.81 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Spurs | 64c | 1,664$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.29 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 50c | 1,474$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Spurs | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Warriors | 44c | 1,443$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.77 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Warriors | 49c | 1,392$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.3 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Spurs | 78c | 1,273$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.8 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Spurs | 48c | 1,219$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.86 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Spurs | 51c | 1,200$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Warriors | 23c | 1,200$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 48c | 1,197$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.68 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 49c | 1,181$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.91 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Spurs | 55c | 1,091$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.72 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Warriors | 64c | 1,058$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.2 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,008$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.31 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,003$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.32 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Warriors | 49c | 998.66$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.31 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Spurs | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Spurs | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Spurs | 50c | 936.3$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.15 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Spurs | 48c | 914.55$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.98 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Warriors | 14c | 878.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.62 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Spurs | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Spurs | 50c | 780.58$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.29 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Spurs | 51c | 776.48$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Spurs | 50c | 764.36$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Spurs | 51c | 760.49$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.85 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Spurs | 51c | 742.63$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.66 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…e54dbacked Spurs | 51c | 734.94$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Spurs | 51c | 732.93$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.77 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Spurs | 60c | 699.39$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.62 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Warriors | 50c | 688$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Warriors | 52c | 674$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs | 51c | 641.93$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.24 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Spurs | 2c | 640.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Spurs | 49c | 618.26$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.95 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs | 50c | 613$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 50c | 608.88$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Warriors | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.54 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Spurs | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Spurs | 50c | 572.3$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 51c | 549.85$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.43 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Warriors | 40c | 500.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.73 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 69c | 492.34$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.61 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Warriors | 28c | 486.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.42 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Spurs | 51c | 484.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.04 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors | 36c | 456.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Spurs | 53c | 456.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 248 | 56.5%140 W · 108 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Spurs | 73c | 436.34$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.53 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Warriors | 28c | 418.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.47 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 51c | 417.27$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.