TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,532 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x191e…dd9ebacked Yes1c1,139$11 inLost-$11.391526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No65c384.03$250 inWon+$133.5590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf35a…0d94backed Yes34c139.38$47 inLost-$47.0550%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No60c112.5$68 inWon+$459975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0cf0…21efbacked Yes34c110.16$37 inLost-$37.461118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No67c100$67 inWon+$3395260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6408…d6bebacked Yes40c96.4$39 inLost-$38.56156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-83.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No64c74.3$48 inWon+$26.727074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb6eb…2090backed Yes34c72.03$24 inLost-$24.49944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db5…0e6bbacked Yes33c69.08$23 inLost-$22.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b4…c59fbacked No74c62.09$46 inWon+$15.977569.3%52 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cd5…1a44backed Yes33c55.84$18 inLost-$18.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No61c49.99$30 inWon+$19.560267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes39c45.45$18 inLost-$17.7736954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd441…87febacked Yes33c38.42$13 inLost-$12.681233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Yes39c33.72$13 inLost-$13.154763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7861…3d27backed Yes35c33.52$12 inLost-$11.627930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No64c22$14 inWon+$7.914,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.