TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,791 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c17,591$7,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c10,894$5,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,127.6787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over56c5,216$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.9112844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under29c3,693$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.441,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c1,746$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c1,680$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over73c1,339$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.96764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c1,195$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over56c1,168$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.0689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under26c1,135$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.983,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under48c991.62$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.982832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over57c876.78$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.0220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Over57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.468859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over74c806.16$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.382,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under18c643.81$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c633.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over53c600.64$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Over77c551.24$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.42528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c500$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c498.89$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c497.51$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.375,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c484.02$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3384150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Over53c470.31$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3214152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d36…c604backed Over57c442.45$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.431060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over69c426.7$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over53c398.36$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5442845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7190…00e7backed Under19c359.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.232035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under23c329.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0826638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c321.59$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.841,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c307.26$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.412,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over54c303.84$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7725550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c283.78$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.312,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over53c279$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.137455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c275.28$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.251,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under17c243.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.691,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c239.32$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c233.06$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.751,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over74c225.76$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5846346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under44c224.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6519348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under25c222.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4557550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6452146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6443447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c214.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over52c205.45$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6123435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Over57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.789749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over62c169.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6715252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under45c168.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over69c159.21$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1919550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Over56c151.82$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.810357.3%59 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under10c150.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under46c146.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over55c137.97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0926345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Over78c126.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.335747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under43c121.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.191,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Under45c120.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0911045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c114.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4627746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8912558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over51c95.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8969049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under26c93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0953453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under13c87.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7212227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Over57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7531954.5%174 W · 145 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Over57c82.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.554654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under29c80.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.33,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under18c75.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6520247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.473560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under25c71.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over69c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.846639.4%26 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d89…94d0backed Over80c61.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.354052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Under33c60.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.910743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Over73c59.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.978644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c58.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.761,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3339backed Over80c58.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over72c52.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5418459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over56c49.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.667451.4%38 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over52c48.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3131955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Over53c45.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3818453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1d…5c72backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.617142.7%73 W · 98 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Under51c38.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.756544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64e…5d27backed Over57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over61c31.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3318850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under45c31.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c30.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90cb…4622backed Over57c30.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.282748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over62c30.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a5…6bc4backed Over52c30.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c30.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c30.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.822456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under43c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over70c28.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.598250%41 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5644…2befbacked Over53c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.932245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec9e…c1eebacked Over57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over62c25.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6657051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c36…d272backed Over56c24.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.716959.4%41 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Over54c23.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.985048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over54c23.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9813349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over53c23.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.210850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.