NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c966c168214946ea7ce31b386dc6aef1ea85ac2097f616b4d0818b04ebfe652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,022,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,040,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,022,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Over | 52c | 388,164$201,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,358.24 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 133,936$64,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,289.21 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 75,673$39,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,523.05 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 71,921$34,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,863.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Under | 48c | 63,292$30,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,626.68 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 61,787$29,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,648.8 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 53,831$25,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,961.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 49,148$24,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,574.23 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 42,136$17,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,960.56 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 37,126$18,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,700.73 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 35c | 26,308$9,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,201.41 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Under | 49c | 19,834$9,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,718.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 52c | 17,560$9,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,428.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 51c | 16,535$8,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,102.24 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 15,983$7,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,695.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 52c | 13,074$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.45 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 58c | 12,932$7,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.1 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Under | 49c | 12,072$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.71 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 10,593$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Under | 48c | 10,137$4,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 9,993$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.05 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 9,555$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.22 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 8,770$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.35 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 8,562$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.57 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Over | 51c | 7,885$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 7,411$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.4 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 6,636$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 50c | 4,999$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.69 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…4c75backed Under | 50c | 4,976$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 28c | 4,344$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.69 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 49c | 4,133$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.26 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…db02backed Under | 50c | 3,889$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 49c | 3,810$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.06 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 3,737$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.3 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 2,881$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.52 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 2,809$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 49c | 2,770$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.16 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 2,665$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 2,419$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 2,168$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.21 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 2,151$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.58 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 50c | 2,075$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.65 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 1,953$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.14 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 1,822$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 73c | 1,737$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.54 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 1,559$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.81 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Over | 50c | 1,504$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.75 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 1,476$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.56 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 58c | 1,345$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.71 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 34c | 1,188$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.9 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 48c | 1,155$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.21 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 39c | 1,055$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.62 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 40c | 1,026$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.38 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 923.27$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 859.94$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.16 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 846$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.54 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…7160backed Over | 80c | 791.78$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 789.22$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.37 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 762.93$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.82 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 51c | 760.73$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.69 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Under | 37c | 750.8$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.41 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 744.73$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.16 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 52c | 743.54$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.19 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 738.76$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.07 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 46c | 737$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.64 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 51c | 687.18$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.46 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 52c | 676.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.27 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 661.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed Over | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 608.78$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.3 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Over | 52c | 603.42$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 584.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 53c | 573.01$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.96 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 20c | 570.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 12c | 560.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…11c3backed Under | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 537.34$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.06 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 534.16$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed Under | 35c | 531.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 531.56$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.78 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 510.42$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Over | 54c | 486.24$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…4d90backed Over | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 59c | 482.88$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 39c | 476.38$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.