TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof PARIVISION, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,429 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked NIP62c46,118$28,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,524.777147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked PARIVISION38c30,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,40039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed NIP63c11,200$7,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1446243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION37c10,423$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.4722142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked NIP64c5,810$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.4815245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked NIP61c5,535$3,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.7136152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed NIP63c5,250$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.4323852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed PARIVISION36c5,221$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked PARIVISION39c5,129$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked PARIVISION38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90035940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed PARIVISION54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70010935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION38c3,257$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.161,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NIP46c2,415$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.2247147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafa2…e45cbacked NIP46c2,136$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.494647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed PARIVISION38c1,581$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked PARIVISION37c1,426$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.6810945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed PARIVISION38c1,194$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45319643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed PARIVISION38c1,111$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed PARIVISION32c1,015$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5922938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP67c1,010$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.493,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed PARIVISION38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38016149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed PARIVISION37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked NIP61c935.22$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked PARIVISION39c825.49$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.943737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5664backed PARIVISION37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2968242.7%35 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP67c733.73$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.915,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25255236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NIP63c687.07$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.922,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed PARIVISION33c645.01$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4137946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed NIP64c483.74$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4925934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed PARIVISION37c371$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3642845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e9…1010backed NIP76c358.22$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.061030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-53.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24fe…30d5backed PARIVISION38c340.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.393342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed NIP63c317.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0359049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed NIP64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.57546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed NIP65c307.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.959268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9353545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed PARIVISION37c285.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5965546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed PARIVISION37c268.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed PARIVISION38c263.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1320744.4%92 W · 115 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed NIP46c259.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.339340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed NIP63c258.73$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.734057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed PARIVISION38c236.11$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7245639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb9…0f15backed PARIVISION38c213.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.941442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed PARIVISION39c205.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0144743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked NIP63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.98633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed PARIVISION37c194.59$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7216546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked NIP60c190.76$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.364452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc793…f66fbacked PARIVISION39c188.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.644131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed PARIVISION37c146$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0225446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked PARIVISION36c141$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.761442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed PARIVISION37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014439.6%57 W · 87 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed PARIVISION38c132.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked PARIVISION38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4c…d057backed PARIVISION38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked NIP60c124.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.711553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed PARIVISION45c110.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5056…db7dbacked PARIVISION38c102.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.115453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked PARIVISION38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed NIP63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.212856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed PARIVISION36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed PARIVISION37c97.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9227744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58be…e6d7backed PARIVISION38c92.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed PARIVISION37c90$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce82…b8c3backed PARIVISION38c88.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d5…853dbacked PARIVISION36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5c…80debacked NIP63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked PARIVISION38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…cd98backed PARIVISION36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846d…67b3backed PARIVISION38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0824842.7%106 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked PARIVISION27c63.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9734542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1217…96c6backed PARIVISION40c63.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae6…8796backed PARIVISION26c61.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked NIP64c56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0212452.4%65 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.823932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed NIP65c53.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.887843.6%34 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed PARIVISION38c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1443442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed PARIVISION34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68fa…b21bbacked PARIVISION35c42.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION35c41.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.632,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0198…133bbacked NIP65c41.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed PARIVISION38c39.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9111350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed PARIVISION38c39.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8813436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed PARIVISION34c37.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.743514.3%5 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce40…b650backed PARIVISION38c32.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed NIP62c32.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1622651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked PARIVISION36c30.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed NIP63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.169863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c24…921dbacked PARIVISION39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked NIP61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed PARIVISION38c29.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.092642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked PARIVISION57c28.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.271338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed PARIVISION38c26.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102850%14 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed NIP63c23.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6736846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc13…5eb6backed NIP79c20.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42050%10 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed PARIVISION66c20.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68045%36 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x167d…862abacked PARIVISION59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85170.6%36 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x059b…2e07backed NIP63c16.65$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.