CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf348c067cc3ec38db3e9227c089317b5373d191ae961a12cef3925ca74fad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof PARIVISION, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,429 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked NIP | 62c | 46,118$28,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,524.77 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked PARIVISION | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed NIP | 63c | 11,200$7,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION | 37c | 10,423$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.47 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked NIP | 64c | 5,810$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.48 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked NIP | 61c | 5,535$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.71 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed NIP | 63c | 5,250$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.43 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed PARIVISION | 36c | 5,221$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.4 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 5,129$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked PARIVISION | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed PARIVISION | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 38c | 3,257$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.16 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NIP | 46c | 2,415$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.22 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked NIP | 46c | 2,136$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.49 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,581$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 1,426$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.68 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,194$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,111$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed PARIVISION | 32c | 1,015$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.59 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 67c | 1,010$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed PARIVISION | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NIP | 61c | 935.22$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.24 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 825.49$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.94 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed PARIVISION | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 67c | 733.73$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 63c | 687.07$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.92 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed PARIVISION | 33c | 645.01$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed NIP | 64c | 483.74$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed PARIVISION | 37c | 371$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…1010backed NIP | 76c | 358.22$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed PARIVISION | 38c | 340.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed NIP | 63c | 317.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed NIP | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed NIP | 65c | 307.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed PARIVISION | 37c | 285.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed PARIVISION | 37c | 268.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 38c | 263.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed NIP | 46c | 259.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a779backed NIP | 63c | 258.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed PARIVISION | 38c | 236.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…0f15backed PARIVISION | 38c | 213.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed PARIVISION | 39c | 205.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked NIP | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed PARIVISION | 37c | 194.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…178cbacked NIP | 60c | 190.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 188.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed PARIVISION | 37c | 146$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 141$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed PARIVISION | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed PARIVISION | 38c | 132.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked PARIVISION | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…d057backed PARIVISION | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked NIP | 60c | 124.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed PARIVISION | 45c | 110.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 102.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed NIP | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed PARIVISION | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed PARIVISION | 37c | 97.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…e6d7backed PARIVISION | 38c | 92.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed PARIVISION | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b8c3backed PARIVISION | 38c | 88.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…853dbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…80debacked NIP | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…cd98backed PARIVISION | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed PARIVISION | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked PARIVISION | 27c | 63.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…96c6backed PARIVISION | 40c | 63.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…8796backed PARIVISION | 26c | 61.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked NIP | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed NIP | 65c | 53.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed PARIVISION | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed PARIVISION | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…b21bbacked PARIVISION | 35c | 42.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 35c | 41.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked NIP | 65c | 41.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed PARIVISION | 38c | 39.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed PARIVISION | 38c | 39.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed PARIVISION | 34c | 37.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…b650backed PARIVISION | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed NIP | 62c | 32.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 30.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed NIP | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NIP | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed PARIVISION | 38c | 29.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked PARIVISION | 57c | 28.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed PARIVISION | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed NIP | 63c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed NIP | 79c | 20.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed PARIVISION | 66c | 20.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…862abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…2e07backed NIP | 63c | 16.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.