TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof PARIVISION, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$359,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,001 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked NIP34c28,578$9,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,962.3715245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NIP33c25,893$8,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,345.0983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed PARIVISION67c15,977$10,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,697.4124544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION57c14,146$8,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,129.583,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked NIP49c12,961$6,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,673.2321939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NIP50c12,740$6,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,357.491,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION67c11,111$7,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,444.369256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed NIP33c11,077$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,421.5635153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION12c9,235$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.5214441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked PARIVISION56c8,856$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.381751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed NIP33c8,758$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.865848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NIP48c7,277$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.011,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NIP51c7,012$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.71,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP46c6,228$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,368.372,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked PARIVISION67c6,200$4,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,15410138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed NIP27c5,815$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,260.4724846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed PARIVISION50c5,790$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8891127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION62c5,636$3,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,485.121,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NIP47c5,599$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION63c5,225$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.1137646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP45c5,046$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.233,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked PARIVISION66c4,728$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,125.484645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION66c4,450$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.3121048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked NIP34c4,450$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,93710251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed NIP36c4,399$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.0981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed NIP33c4,013$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.7121528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked PARIVISION58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.9922550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked PARIVISION67c3,827$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.8212352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION47c3,756$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.456,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked PARIVISION67c3,082$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed NIP34c3,062$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.497040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed NIP33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.9846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed NIP34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.986243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed NIP49c2,924$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.6210663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION56c2,770$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.631,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION57c2,670$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.112,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed PARIVISION67c2,612$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75012449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed NIP33c2,380$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.898050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed PARIVISION67c2,239$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed NIP34c2,215$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.831450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked NIP34c2,055$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.1614144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked PARIVISION26c2,045$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed NIP35c2,020$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.947546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed PARIVISION63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.0811852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed PARIVISION66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3206245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed NIP46c1,985$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.4539248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION53c1,764$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.894,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION54c1,760$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.13,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked PARIVISION43c1,683$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.184928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NIP62c1,665$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.942,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed NIP34c1,600$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0564742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed PARIVISION48c1,507$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.3836742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed NIP67c1,496$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.118750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked PARIVISION54c1,492$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.821,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f0…5191backed PARIVISION71c1,401$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.682763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed PARIVISION67c1,373$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.094122%9 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP43c1,333$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.862,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked PARIVISION67c1,330$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.1641069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed PARIVISION71c1,249$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.534156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION64c1,202$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.7980744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked PARIVISION66c1,200$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79244957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed PARIVISION46c1,189$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3827950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed NIP39c1,091$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.1324346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked PARIVISION52c1,087$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.985341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NIP28c1,001$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.7178639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed NIP34c999.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9964552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked NIP32c970.81$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.8117148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP43c940.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.314,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed PARIVISION67c929.85$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62316947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed PARIVISION58c890.06$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.5836555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed NIP33c879.96$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.5846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed NIP40c779$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.0425934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked PARIVISION67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked PARIVISION67c716.42$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked PARIVISION75c645.26$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3412143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION49c642.07$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.831,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION11c600$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.531,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed NIP52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28831444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5808…d235backed PARIVISION65c590.62$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3833141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed PARIVISION60c581.93$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9752947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed NIP54c564.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.311740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION31c517.84$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.515,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed PARIVISION54c506.25$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed PARIVISION40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NIP34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed PARIVISION51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked NIP37c482.88$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8810250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed PARIVISION67c481.14$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.411546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked PARIVISION65c462.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8919350.3%97 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf76…db81backed PARIVISION64c460$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.42133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c0a…b543backed NIP35c460$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2992152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed PARIVISION68c438.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION18c430$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.758651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked PARIVISION70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed NIP42c410$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7758961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked PARIVISION63c405.46$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4414555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed NIP37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25297230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf376…9356backed PARIVISION49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19613342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x765d…610bbacked PARIVISION64c393.58$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.76875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.