CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff4d07ece76cf23061b3a65c2d00b73d58b07062941a15353704960dbe01ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dea…ed8fbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…1c66backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 33c | 13,125$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,797.51 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 7,857$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.77 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 64c | 3,558$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.63 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 2,218$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 47c | 1,511$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.4 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Over | 36c | 1,142$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.04 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 46c | 964.42$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.08 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761c…afc5backed Over | 45c | 898$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 52c | 881.79$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.32 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 62c | 758$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.96 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 65c | 704.61$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.27 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Under | 17c | 562.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 66c | 478.09$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.65 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 476.81$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Over | 52c | 467.49$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 50c | 399.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae08…c9f2backed Under | 62c | 275$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 244.77$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 62c | 232.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1339…3c5dbacked Under | 62c | 229$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 49c | 212.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…19f1backed Under | 62c | 204$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 38c | 203.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc86…5f9fbacked Under | 62c | 190$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 63c | 188.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Under | 72c | 183.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 45c | 181.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 41c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 56c | 137.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 55c | 126$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 57c | 122.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…7df7backed Under | 62c | 114.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 59c | 93.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b8c3backed Over | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Under | 64c | 87.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 65c | 85.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 59c | 83.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 37c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 48c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 58c | 67.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Under | 28c | 62.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Over | 47c | 57.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…4802backed Under | 53c | 56.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…178cbacked Over | 53c | 56.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…ef16backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Under | 66c | 45.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 39c | 44.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…9212backed Over | 41c | 44.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 67c | 42.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 68c | 40.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…7be6backed Under | 54c | 38.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 54c | 37.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Under | 54c | 36.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…b2d3backed Over | 31c | 35.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 65c | 33.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Over | 46c | 30.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…3ebebacked Under | 58c | 26.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…a040backed Under | 52c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Over | 42c | 25.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 67c | 23.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 47c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962a…e2cdbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…fc97backed Under | 66c | 18.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 67c | 16.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.