TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$914,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,024,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $914,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Hurricanes60c160,805$96,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,483.0419848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Canadiens40c150,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,999.9710840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens40c145,558$58,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,361.5867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Canadiens36c84,000$30,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,759.9548545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens53c64,570$34,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,286.124349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Hurricanes60c60,108$36,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,064.85639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens40c51,994$20,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,196.448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hurricanes60c51,460$30,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,707.3151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Hurricanes60c48,890$29,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,094.424450%22 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Hurricanes59c44,280$26,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,125.197162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens39c41,324$16,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,207.781,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Hurricanes60c28,520$17,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,1126147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes60c28,231$17,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,006.1461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canadiens40c26,498$10,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,898.6740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Hurricanes60c21,455$12,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,872.8916442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes76c21,041$15,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,983.451,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Hurricanes60c21,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,6008252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Hurricanes57c19,503$11,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,135.3427448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes60c15,561$9,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,336.6347951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe262…ac17backed Hurricanes61c12,449$7,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5451643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Hurricanes60c12,083$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2502564%16 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes59c12,000$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.881,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x335c…6fadbacked Hurricanes0c11,940$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens40c10,178$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,106.585250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens38c10,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,24061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Hurricanes59c9,951$5,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,870.861850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04de…e928backed Hurricanes60c9,103$5,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,461.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Hurricanes60c7,470$4,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4821675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hurricanes60c7,380$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,42818641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Canadiens40c6,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Canadiens43c5,438$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.1633450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hurricanes61c5,200$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.7532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes16c5,078$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.58134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05010743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Hurricanes60c4,900$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9404047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes62c4,444$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.092,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Canadiens42c4,414$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.7537754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Hurricanes60c4,167$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b7…cc32backed Canadiens24c4,150$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1546443.8%28 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Canadiens41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,36039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Canadiens40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.99333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens79c3,901$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.681,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hurricanes59c3,750$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.5938849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Hurricanes60c3,675$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20510850.9%55 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hurricanes60c3,522$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.279350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hurricanes59c3,389$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.5152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes45c3,093$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.581,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8008845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hurricanes4c2,920$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens34c2,649$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.872,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hurricanes60c2,594$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.961,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Hurricanes60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens40c2,222$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens43c2,214$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.582,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce88…4103backed Hurricanes78c2,116$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Hurricanes52c2,022$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.4257157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Canadiens41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1804264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Hurricanes60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Hurricanes60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Hurricanes61c1,965$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.6512552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Hurricanes13c1,895$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.54143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed Hurricanes75c1,838$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.111070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8040…5c8abacked Hurricanes75c1,792$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.423333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens40c1,770$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.821,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Hurricanes61c1,658$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.116246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Canadiens33c1,635$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.4216447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe67…6b21backed Hurricanes61c1,599$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Hurricanes63c1,582$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Canadiens50c1,497$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.231,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes60c1,397$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.0943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens64c1,365$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.711,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Hurricanes61c1,282$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.0224457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Hurricanes60c1,250$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens28c1,235$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.33,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Hurricanes60c1,194$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.3526750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens40c1,187$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.0276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hurricanes61c1,182$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Canadiens42c1,111$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.3821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Canadiens40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Hurricanes61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6105246.2%24 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Hurricanes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Canadiens32c990$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.5218344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Canadiens39c910$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.8212152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hurricanes59c889.98$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.0983149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d1…4496backed Hurricanes61c861$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.211553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Canadiens45c847.3$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.567938%30 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Canadiens33c838$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0227739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Hurricanes61c834.65$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa52f…8897backed Hurricanes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Canadiens41c806.51$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.8413252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens59c782.18$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hurricanes61c780$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.833950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58fb…1f65backed Canadiens24c743.94$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5676640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Hurricanes15c737.16$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6333234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0e…a3e2backed Canadiens40c713.9$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.672157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Hurricanes58c709.63$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.064957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Canadiens41c700$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41332648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens40c700$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2617…a460backed Hurricanes61c700$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4271850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Hurricanes78c696.51$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.6614062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.