NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190b3e75b0e0229eb7350b480f0f777f06003695788eb70d1af1a9c814bead03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Hurricanes, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Hurricanes | 40c | 71,285$28,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,513.95 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens | 60c | 60,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canadiens | 60c | 10,204$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.6 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Canadiens | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Hurricanes | 8c | 510.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Canadiens | 60c | 463.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes | 40c | 373$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Canadiens | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Hurricanes | 10c | 299.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Hurricanes | 38c | 280.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Hurricanes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens | 60c | 208.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Hurricanes | 39c | 199.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Hurricanes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Canadiens | 62c | 138.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canadiens | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Hurricanes | 40c | 125.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hurricanes | 38c | 121.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Hurricanes | 17c | 114.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Hurricanes | 38c | 99.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 59c | 93.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canadiens | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Hurricanes | 38c | 75.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 37c | 61.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canadiens | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Hurricanes | 39c | 57.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hurricanes | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hurricanes | 40c | 50.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…52febacked Hurricanes | 40c | 49.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Canadiens | 62c | 44.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Canadiens | 62c | 43.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hurricanes | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…bc1cbacked Canadiens | 60c | 39.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…7379backed Hurricanes | 38c | 37.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Canadiens | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 39c | 34.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canadiens | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Canadiens | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Canadiens | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Canadiens | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked Canadiens | 60c | 30.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Canadiens | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Canadiens | 55c | 18.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Canadiens vs. HurricanesCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.