NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x303ca175f8ec27cbb0f559c20f6afda310938179eebe7e8008bdc48457aa7ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 12,868$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.15 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…c0dbbacked Under | 50c | 10,838$5,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 8,178$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.88 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…4badbacked Under | 50c | 6,304$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 3,519$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 48c | 3,015$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.3 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 49c | 2,351$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 2,245$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.53 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 51c | 2,130$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.16 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,021$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 1,548$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.29 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 50c | 1,430$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 1,277$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.88 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 48c | 1,142$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.84 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,046$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 50c | 990.03$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.24 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 649.12$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.56 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 50c | 637$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 51c | 266.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 257.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Under | 49c | 202.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 49c | 196.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Under | 52c | 193.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 44c | 156.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 154.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 52c | 150.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 131.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 126$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 57c | 121.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 99.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Under | 50c | 91.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 81.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 50c | 76.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 59.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Under | 50c | 56.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 54.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 52c | 52.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…7379backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 38.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 37.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 31.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 31.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…ad96backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 75c | 26.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 52c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Under | 50c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 66c | 20.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…6d7abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. HurricanesCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.