NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9292f68c9b38a444ef85775e289a8173ee7f4298a9d294137a423cc0a8c01e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 64c | 1,661$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.33 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 1,397$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.08 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 562.45$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.95 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 547.54$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.62 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 37c | 499.31$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.56 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 445.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.84 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 335.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Under | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 35c | 282.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 55c | 282.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 280.16$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 277.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 39c | 254$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c23…9d76backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 63c | 179.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 44c | 168.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 37c | 155.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 154.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 60c | 137.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 52c | 103$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 37c | 93.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 86.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 56c | 61.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 60.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 60c | 59.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…7042backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…ad96backed Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 52c | 42.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 57c | 42.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 55c | 34.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 63c | 31.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaab…aeacbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 57c | 31.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 58c | 20.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 64c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. HurricanesCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.