TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$687,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$794,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $687,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes58c212,600$123,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,748.222560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No42c155,129$65,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,154.355738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes58c84,034$48,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,294.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes57c62,183$35,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,935.362634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c6c…d39abacked Yes58c54,928$32,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,812.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c38,953$16,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,636.5998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No42c28,529$11,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,854.48941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No41c25,451$10,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,443.733444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No42c24,000$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0806940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c19,712$5,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,304.971,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No42c18,685$7,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,840.655347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4502744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No39c14,000$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,459.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No43c12,536$5,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,390.473237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No41c10,088$4,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.132339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.995431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c9,960$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,322.5722551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No41c9,820$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,029.616429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No42c9,794$4,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.472725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes59c9,754$5,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.143641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No42c9,000$3,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,789.985653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes59c8,877$5,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,661.2132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No41c7,212$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No41c7,176$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.29650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes56c5,751$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.2521058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No43c5,070$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.199950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No41c5,020$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.397248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No43c4,594$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.421369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick39cpaid+86.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6401241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes57c3,838$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.3433951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No42c3,330$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No43c3,126$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.182450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No40c3,059$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.731822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes57c2,923$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.7224939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked Yes59c2,834$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed No43c2,784$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No41c2,567$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.532650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked No42c2,464$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes76c2,346$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.0510650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No44c2,331$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.511637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes60c2,196$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.373148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed No42c1,996$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.191533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes80c1,975$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.753464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No44c1,933$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.433243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No41c1,929$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.975666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No41c1,929$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.976369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No41c1,929$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.976170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No41c1,736$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.876666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed No42c1,687$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.861450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes60c1,627$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.671353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No41c1,622$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No36c1,464$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.543020%6 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Yes58c1,345$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No44c1,327$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.742857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No2c1,257$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5316819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No41c1,158$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.586465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No41c1,158$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.586070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes60c1,033$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked No42c1,031$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.03944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3707…699abacked No43c1,011$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No41c964.6$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.496167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No41c964.6$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.495867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09d5…7a3bbacked No42c910.12$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65eb…e197backed No43c890$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes58c886.67$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.49754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1229…84c1backed Yes56c882.66$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes57c828.07$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes59c825.3$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4726241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes59c823.3$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.556848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes80c805.57$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.113759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes58c741.29$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.675935.6%21 W · 38 L-11.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No43c710.2$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3846047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Yes58c672.28$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No23c665.55$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3914347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c655.4$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8842347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3b…ecf0backed Yes80c639.48$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No43c592.42$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.1338547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Yes58c588.24$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.061266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed No41c588.17$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.151637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No41c578.76$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.295269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No41c564.22$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.58616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No31c548.06$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0518125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes60c544.99$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2183040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed No41c526.53$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c513$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No41c501.59$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.654641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Yes80c494$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes57c488.48$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6413553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Yes60c488$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes58c487.4$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.712751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67a…573fbacked Yes60c467.82$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No43c449.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.167538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No41c438.92$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.961241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No30c411.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No44c399.04$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.583754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No3c386.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.77333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.