Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d27d6cd4af7804673502ca88b00a3f920d9846fd8425b0e6c092e31d24c17a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6506…a203backed Yes | 0c | 10,341$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 9,053$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.93 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…5467backed Yes | 6c | 8,196$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 16c | 5,173$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.6 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,073$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…90f0backed Yes | 16c | 3,248$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 4c | 2,243$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 1,108$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 17c | 1,045$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 19c | 925.71$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 19c | 630.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 4c | 517.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 7c | 325.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 10c | 289.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…6010backed Yes | 8c | 241.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 18c | 188.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 143.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 17c | 134.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 17c | 122.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 20c | 120.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 17c | 97.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 17c | 93.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 27c | 89.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes | 28c | 88.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Yes | 19c | 63.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 19c | 55.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.