TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$476,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$478,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics51c125,076$64,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,795.2772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Celtics52c79,981$41,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,390.8260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Celtics50c76,639$38,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,423.811457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Bucks49c59,513$29,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,064.3412639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks50c51,067$25,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,282.521,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks48c51,046$24,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,648.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks47c50,508$23,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,932.6943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks48c44,047$21,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,224.582,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks50c24,500$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2501,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Bucks47c19,998$9,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.0714842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Bucks48c15,641$7,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,507.8137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Celtics53c14,577$7,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,851.192343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics51c14,559$7,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,133.9138251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Celtics53c12,835$6,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,032.494847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Bucks48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks50c9,428$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Bucks51c8,018$4,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,089.1316249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Bucks49c8,000$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,94057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Bucks50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics51c7,881$4,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,861.821,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks48c7,232$3,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,491.094,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics51c6,574$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.121,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Celtics52c6,443$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.441,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Celtics50c5,250$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.4221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks48c4,876$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.411,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics52c4,825$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.531,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Celtics53c4,205$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.3427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics51c3,911$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.296,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Bucks50c3,880$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Celtics51c3,813$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.0120843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks8c3,355$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Bucks50c2,764$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.7712850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Bucks51c2,539$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.8415650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Bucks53c2,151$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.9214455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Bucks53c2,142$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.0619359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks49c1,936$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.432,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Celtics51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.547337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Celtics52c1,685$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.3758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bucks39c1,504$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.571,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics53c1,280$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.5340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Celtics49c1,221$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.9831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Bucks48c1,197$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.757447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks29c1,057$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.993,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Bucks48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks48c1,005$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Bucks48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0262948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Bucks48c807.33$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5211235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Bucks48c775.04$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0215446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Celtics52c763.01$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Bucks51c761.25$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2418748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Celtics53c752.93$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8830453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Celtics53c728.85$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5625155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Celtics53c723.17$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Celtics53c680.26$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.725945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Celtics47c639.98$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Bucks50c624.1$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.0514049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Celtics50c584.64$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.029345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Bucks52c573.01$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Celtics53c565.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.748751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Bucks53c550.08$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5410947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Celtics52c536.28$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Bucks51c532.88$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.776647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Celtics51c530.98$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.183562.9%22 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Bucks50c523.8$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.99845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Celtics50c494.89$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0311145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Bucks51c493.06$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4616845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aaf…45ccbacked Celtics51c475.59$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bucks10c454.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.231,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks48c451.78$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.281,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Celtics53c431.5$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.82231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Celtics46c423.81$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Celtics53c419.82$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.316653%35 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Bucks48c403.64$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks48c403.14$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.781,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Celtics50c399.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Bucks48c387.52$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0111451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Celtics52c385.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1818648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Bucks51c381.94$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7910943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Celtics51c379.68$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.042060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bucks49c373.83$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7548152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Celtics53c366.88$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Celtics53c366.71$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Celtics53c347.9$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5220443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Bucks50c345.32$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.663141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Celtics53c324.36$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4522953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Celtics46c309.84$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3130157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Bucks49c300.51$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.257346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Celtics48c298.5$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Celtics50c297.05$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8822148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Celtics51c292.85$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Celtics51c291.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6821139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Celtics49c290.12$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5822349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks26c267.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Celtics53c266.33$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1731354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Celtics53c256.7$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6514145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Bucks51c255.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5613352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Celtics52c250.6$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Celtics52c249.15$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9725049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Bucks51c248.47$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7213148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Bucks51c248.47$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.725540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.