NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07fe52fd38cd3df12badd1f0ab8d87cd80267493c7d726421e3be42a580ec5a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $476,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $478,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 51c | 125,076$64,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,795.27 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Celtics | 52c | 79,981$41,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,390.82 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Celtics | 50c | 76,639$38,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,423.8 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Bucks | 49c | 59,513$29,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,064.34 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 50c | 51,067$25,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,282.52 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 48c | 51,046$24,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,648.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks | 47c | 50,508$23,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,932.69 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 48c | 44,047$21,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,224.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 50c | 24,500$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Bucks | 47c | 19,998$9,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.07 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Bucks | 48c | 15,641$7,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,507.81 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Celtics | 53c | 14,577$7,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,851.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics | 51c | 14,559$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,133.91 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Celtics | 53c | 12,835$6,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.49 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Bucks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 50c | 9,428$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Bucks | 51c | 8,018$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.13 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bucks | 49c | 8,000$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bucks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 51c | 7,881$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.82 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 48c | 7,232$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Celtics | 51c | 6,574$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.12 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Celtics | 52c | 6,443$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.44 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Celtics | 50c | 5,250$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.42 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks | 48c | 4,876$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.41 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics | 52c | 4,825$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.53 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Celtics | 53c | 4,205$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.34 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 51c | 3,911$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Bucks | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Celtics | 51c | 3,813$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.01 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 8c | 3,355$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Bucks | 50c | 2,764$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.77 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Bucks | 51c | 2,539$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.84 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Bucks | 53c | 2,151$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.92 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Bucks | 53c | 2,142$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.06 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 49c | 1,936$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Celtics | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,685$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.37 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bucks | 39c | 1,504$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.57 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics | 53c | 1,280$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.53 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,221$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.98 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Bucks | 48c | 1,197$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.75 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 29c | 1,057$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…7654backed Bucks | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 48c | 1,005$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Bucks | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Bucks | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Bucks | 48c | 775.04$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Celtics | 52c | 763.01$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.73 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Bucks | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Celtics | 53c | 752.93$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.88 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Celtics | 53c | 728.85$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.56 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Celtics | 53c | 723.17$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.89 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Celtics | 53c | 680.26$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Celtics | 47c | 639.98$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.19 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Bucks | 50c | 624.1$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.05 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Celtics | 50c | 584.64$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Bucks | 52c | 573.01$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Celtics | 53c | 565.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.7 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Bucks | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Celtics | 52c | 536.28$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.29 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Bucks | 51c | 532.88$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.77 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Celtics | 51c | 530.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Bucks | 50c | 523.8$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Celtics | 50c | 494.89$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Bucks | 51c | 493.06$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaf…45ccbacked Celtics | 51c | 475.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Bucks | 10c | 454.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Bucks | 48c | 451.78$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Celtics | 53c | 431.5$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Celtics | 46c | 423.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.86 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Celtics | 53c | 419.82$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.31 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Bucks | 48c | 403.64$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks | 48c | 403.14$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Celtics | 50c | 399.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Bucks | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Celtics | 52c | 385.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.18 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Bucks | 51c | 381.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Celtics | 51c | 379.68$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bucks | 49c | 373.83$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Celtics | 53c | 366.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Celtics | 53c | 366.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Celtics | 53c | 347.9$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Bucks | 50c | 345.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Celtics | 53c | 324.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Celtics | 46c | 309.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Bucks | 49c | 300.51$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Celtics | 48c | 298.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Celtics | 50c | 297.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Celtics | 51c | 292.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Celtics | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Celtics | 49c | 290.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 26c | 267.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Celtics | 53c | 266.33$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Celtics | 53c | 256.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Bucks | 51c | 255.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Celtics | 52c | 250.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Celtics | 52c | 249.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Bucks | 51c | 248.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Bucks | 51c | 248.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)this page
- Celtics vs. BucksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.